Bogdan Pavel vs Alexis Gautier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Saint Brieuc Challenger Men Bogdan Pavel - Alexis Gautier
Result
2:1
13/10/2024 at 12:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
2012
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
56%53%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (48/58)79% (45/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (20/45)44% (22/50)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
23% (13/57)31% (18/58)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (28/50)56% (25/45)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)33% (3/9)
Max Points In Row
75
Service Points Won
66% (67/102)63% (67/107)
Return Points Won
37% (40/107)34% (35/102)
Total Points Won
51% (107/209)49% (102/209)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
56% (19/34)44% (15/34)

Chances of winning


Bogdan Pavel
22.1%
Alexis Gautier
77.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 69%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bogdan Pavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bogdan Pavel's form might have worsened.
  • Alexis Gautier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexis Gautier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogdan Pavel than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bogdan Pavel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexis Gautier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bogdan Pavel - Alexis Gautier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.21
    (3.15)

    1.19
    (1.31)
    7.5%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Pavel is ranked ATP: 790. Gautier is ranked ATP: 439.
    • Pavel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Gautier is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pavel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Gautier is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bogdan Pavel
    Latest results of Alexis Gautier
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pouille L. (1)Berankis R. (Alt)2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Shelbayh A.2 : 1
    3Rehberg M. H. (Q)Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)2 : 0
    4Zapata Miralles B.Royer V. (5)2 : 1
    5Droguet T. (3)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    6Cornut-Chauvinc A.Bourgue M. (WC)2 : 0
    7Edmund K. (Q)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    8Gerasimov E.Escoffier A. (8)0 : 2
    9Martineau M. (7)Hemery C.0 : 2
    10Chidekh C.Vesely J. (Q)1 : 2
    11Naw H.Brunold M. (Q)2 : 0
    12Prizmic D.Bonzi B. (4)0 : 2
    13Jubb P. (6)Chazal M. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Debru G.Tabur C. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Kouame M. (WC)Marie J.0 : 2
    16Blancaneaux G.Barrere G. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Pouille L. (1)Bertrand R.2 : 0
    2Rehberg M. H.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    3Poullain L.Cornut-Chauvinc A.0 : 2
    4Edmund K.Escoffier A. (8)2 : 1
    5Hemery C.Vesely J.2 : 0
    6Naw H.Bonzi B. (4)0 : 2
    7Jubb P. (6)Debru G.2 : 0
    8Marie J.Barrere G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pouille L. (1)Rehberg M. H.2 : 0
    2Cornut-Chauvinc A.Edmund K.2 : 0
    3Hemery C.Bonzi B. (4)0 : 2
    4Jubb P. (6)Barrere G. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pouille L. (1)Cornut-Chauvinc A.2 : 0
    2Bonzi B. (4)Barrere G. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Pouille L. (1)Bonzi B. (4)0 : 2