Atlético Mineiro vs Bolívar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Malaysia	Mola
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DSports 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.39
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
7	7
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
82% (398/487)	72% (222/308)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.55	0.30
Total shots
7	7
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
3	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
10	9
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
82% (398/487)	72% (222/308)
Long passes
42% (24/57)	24% (13/55)
Passes in final third
61% (51/84)	46% (36/78)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.48
Throw-ins
19	32
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
80% (12/15)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
47	42
Clearances
27	13
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.30	0.55
Goals prevented
0.30	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Alexsander ↓, Bernard ↑,
20', Igor Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Reinier ↓, Rony ↑,
74', Roman I. ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
74', Hulk ↓, Biel ↑,
74', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
80', Catano D. 🟨,
82', Fausto Vera 🟨,
83', Batallini D. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
84', Catano D. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
88', Biel 🟨,
88', Torren M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Bernard ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
90+3', Bernard 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Atlético Mineiro
66.8%

Draw
21.8%

Bolívar
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

17.1%

9.8%

Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.28)	4.35 ↓ (5.47)	8.36 ↓ (9.54)	5.2% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 55.2% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
Recent form of Atlético MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bolívar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
In this match, Atlético MG is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Bolívar?

Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Atlético Mineiro?

Bolívar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar were as follows:

17.09.2025 Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro 2:2

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

20.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro 2:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1 ✺

11.09.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bolívar

20.09.2025 Bolívar - ABB 3:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro 2:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Bolívar - Guabirá 4:0 ✺

27.08.2025 Bolívar - The Strongest 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar 2:2 ✺