Result
1:0
24/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (398/487) | 72% (222/308) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (398/487) | 72% (222/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 24% (13/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/84) | 46% (36/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Alexsander ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 20', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Reinier ↓, Rony ↑,
- 74', Roman I. ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
- 74', Hulk ↓, Biel ↑,
- 74', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 80', Catano D. 🟨,
- 82', Fausto Vera 🟨,
- 83', Batallini D. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 84', Catano D. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 88', Biel 🟨,
- 88', Torren M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Bernard ⚽, Gustavo Scarpa (A),
- 90+3', Bernard 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
66.8% | Draw
21.8% | Bolívar
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.28) |
4.35 ↓
(5.47) |
8.36 ↓
(9.54) |
5.2%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 55.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
- Recent form of Atlético MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bolívar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Bolívar?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Atlético Mineiro?
Bolívar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Bolívar were as follows:
17.09.2025
Bolívar
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Bolívar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 11 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Huracan | |
| 13 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 15 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. De Chile | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | U. De Chile | Lanus | |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | Atletico-MG | |
Final
