Result
0:2
20/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/398) | 74% (233/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/398) | 74% (233/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (72/120) | 70% (72/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Cauteruccio M. (Pen),
- 22', Batallini D. 🟨,
- 34', Desio C. 🟨,
- 40', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Batallini D. ⚽, Robson Matheus (A),
- 45+3', Valoyes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Ortiz D. 🟨,
- 57', Neira C. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
- 66', Batallini D. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 66', Souza Espana C. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 74', Catano D. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 77', Torren M. 🟨,
- 80', Hohberg A. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 80', Gamero Y. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 86', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 86', Melgar C. A. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 86', Torren M. ↓, Gariglio I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
38.3% | Draw
27.8% | Bolívar
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cienciano - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2) |
3.57 ↑
(3.5) |
2.96 ↓
(3.35) |
0.1%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Bolívar will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
- In recent matches, Cienciano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolívar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cienciano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cienciano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Bolívar?
Cienciano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Cienciano?
Bolívar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Bolívar were as follows:
13.08.2025
Bolívar
-
Cienciano
2:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Bolívar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
