Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 23
- Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/302) | 85% (374/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/302) | 85% (374/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 65% (40/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (50/87) | 72% (86/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 9', Mena F. 🟨,
- 15', Villamil S. 🟨,
- 19', Ribera J. 🟨,
- 28', Justiniano L. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Batallini D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Justiniano L. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
- 48', Ramallo J. 🟨,
- 57', Mamani A. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
- 57', Villamil S. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
- 69', Ribera J. ↓, Vasquez F. ↑,
- 69', Batallini D. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
- 70', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Cauteruccio M. ↑,
- 84', Mena F. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 84', Catano D. ↓, Torren M. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 2, Melgar C. A. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
- 90', Galindo S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Robson Matheus 🟨,
Chances of winning
GVCD San José
16.4% | Draw
24.2% | Bolívar
59.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GVCD San José's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GVCD San José, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
GVCD San José - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.44 ↑
(3.75) |
4.14 ↑
(3.66) |
1.59 ↓
(1.85) |
2.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for GVCD San José - Bolívar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bolívar will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GVCD San José won 2.
- Recent form of GVCD San José has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolívar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bolívar is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GVCD San José won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.6:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, GVCD San José won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has GVCD San José won against Bolívar?
GVCD San José has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against GVCD San José?
Bolívar has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GVCD San José - Bolívar were as follows:
08.06.2025
Bolívar
-
GVCD San José
1:3
22.02.2025
Bolívar
-
GVCD San José
7:1
16.02.2025
GVCD San José
-
Bolívar
1:2
27.11.2024
GVCD San José
-
Bolívar
3:2
31.07.2024
Bolívar
-
GVCD San José
4:0
Latest results of GVCD San José
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
