Result
3:1
02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (128/179) | 86% (311/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (128/179) | 86% (311/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 56% (31/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (38/67) | 69% (68/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Alessandrini A. 🟨,
- 9', Rocha Y. 🟨,
- 16', Thomas J. 🟨,
- 35', Vallejos Y. 🟥,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Ali L. ⚽, Gustavo Oliveira (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Rivero E. ↓, Sabja L. ↑,
- 59', Sabja L. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Ali L. ⚽, Gustavo Oliveira (A),
- 65', Prieto J. ↓, Virreira J. ↑,
- 71', Torren M. 🟨,
- 73', 3 - 0, Zeballos S. ⚽, Ali Gutierrez J. D. (A),
- 73', Gustavo Oliveira ↓, Melgar V. ↑,
- 75', Saavedra E. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 76', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 80', Paz L. 🟨,
- 83', 3 - 1, Robson Matheus ⚽, Cauteruccio M. (A),
- 85', Zeballos S. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
- 85', Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↓, Gomez Saca R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Oruro
22.9% | Draw
23.9% | Bolívar
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Real Oruro - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.75) |
3.92 ↓
(4.2) |
1.76 ↑
(1.75) |
7.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Oruro - Bolívar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bolívar will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In recent matches, Real Oruro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolívar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Real Oruro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bolívar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Oruro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Bolívar?
Real Oruro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Real Oruro?
Bolívar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oruro - Bolívar were as follows:
28.03.2025
Bolívar
-
Real Oruro
3:1
Latest results of Real Oruro
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 62:38 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 54:24 | 30 | 46 |
| 4 | Blooming | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 41:38 | 3 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38:46 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:39 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
