Result
3:1
02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.12 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
33% | 67% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
72% (128/179) | 86% (311/360) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.12 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.17 | 1.55 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
72% (128/179) | 86% (311/360) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (25/51) | 56% (31/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (38/67) | 69% (68/99) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (3/12) | 15% (4/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 0.60 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 75% (6/8) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
37 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.55 | 2.17 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.55 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Alessandrini A. 🟨,
- 9', Rocha Y. 🟨,
- 16', Thomas J. 🟨,
- 35', Vallejos Y. 🟥,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Ali L. ⚽, Gustavo Oliveira (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Rivero E. ↓, Sabja L. ↑,
- 59', Sabja L. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Ali L. ⚽, Gustavo Oliveira (A),
- 65', Prieto J. ↓, Virreira J. ↑,
- 71', Torren M. 🟨,
- 73', 3 - 0, Zeballos S. ⚽, Ali Gutierrez J. D. (A),
- 73', Gustavo Oliveira ↓, Melgar V. ↑,
- 75', Saavedra E. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 76', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 80', Paz L. 🟨,
- 83', 3 - 1, Robson Matheus ⚽, Cauteruccio M. (A),
- 85', Zeballos S. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
- 85', Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↓, Gomez Saca R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Oruro 22.9% | Draw 23.9% | Bolívar 53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Real Oruro - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4 ↑ (3.75) |
3.92 ↓ (4.2) |
1.76 ↑ (1.75) |
7.5% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Oruro - Bolívar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bolívar will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In recent matches, Real Oruro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolívar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Real Oruro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bolívar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Oruro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Oruro won against Bolívar?
Real Oruro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Real Oruro?
Bolívar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oruro - Bolívar were as follows:
28.03.2025
Bolívar
-
Real Oruro
3:1
Latest results of Real Oruro
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Always Ready | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 37 |
2 | The Strongest | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 47:29 | 18 | 37 |
3 | Blooming | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 33:24 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Bolivar | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35:19 | 16 | 27 |
5 | GV San Jose | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 23 |
6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 27:25 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Guabira | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29:32 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Oriente Petrolero | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Academia del Balompie | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
10 | Nacional Potosi | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 17 |
11 | Real Oruro | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 17 |
12 | Universitario de Vinto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:25 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Tomayapo | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
14 | Independiente | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:32 | -12 | 15 |
15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
16 | Aurora | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation