Result
1:2
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 11
- Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (285/350) | 76% (167/219) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (285/350) | 76% (167/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (52/72) | 67% (59/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Pedraza P. 🟨,
- 24', Ramirez R. 🟨,
- 35', Bustos C. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Vaca Moreno E. ⚽, Pato Rodriguez (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 1, Amoroso J. ⚽, Chura J. (A),
- 59', 1 - 2, Triverio E. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),
- 64', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
- 73', Velasquez J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 73', Chura J. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
- 74', Garcia J. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
- 81', Sagredo J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 81', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 82', Lino D. ↓, Yanarico L. ↑,
- 87', Banegas L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pato Rodriguez 🟥,
- 90+4', Triverio E. ↓, Chiatti M. ↑,
- 90+4', Altamirano S. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bolívar
49.5% | Draw
22.9% | The Strongest
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bolívar's form might have worsened.The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting The Strongest's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+16%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolívar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for The Strongest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bolívar - The Strongest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.53) |
4.03 ↓
(4.7) |
3.4 ↓
(4.8) |
7.6%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Bolívar - The Strongest?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). The Strongest will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - The Strongest (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DC - The Strongest (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 2.
- Recent performances by Bolívar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- The Strongest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of home games.
- Bolívar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:38. (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolívar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against The Strongest?
Bolívar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Bolívar?
The Strongest has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolívar - The Strongest were as follows:
08.12.2024
Bolívar
-
The Strongest
4:1
18.09.2024
The Strongest
-
Bolívar
1:1
10.03.2024
The Strongest
-
Bolívar
2:1
25.02.2024
Bolívar
-
The Strongest
4:4
23.07.2023
Bolívar
-
The Strongest
3:0
Latest results of Bolívar
Latest results of The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 49:20 | 29 | 34 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 44:27 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Blooming | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31:21 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Academia del Balompie | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | Universitario de Vinto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Guabira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 16 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomayapo | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 13 | Independiente | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:31 | -13 | 12 |
| 14 | Nacional Potosi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
