The Strongest vs Bolívar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional
Result
2:3
30/11/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 26
  • Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.37
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
59% (107/180)81% (320/393)
Yellow Cards
55
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.51
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
611
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
59% (107/180)81% (320/393)
Long passes
39% (21/54)43% (19/44)
Passes in final third
49% (34/69)72% (83/116)
Crosses
7% (1/15)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.34
Throw-ins
3023
Fouls
1910
Tackles
57% (4/7)100% (5/5)
Duels won
2032
Clearances
1422
Interceptions
33
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.511.09
Goals prevented
-0.49-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Arrascaita J. (Pen),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Quaglio F. (Own goal),
  • 33', Quiroga A. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Rivero E. (A),
  • 36', Chavez A. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 3, Melgar C. A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lovera J. ↓, Ursino L. ↑,
  • 57', Altamirano S. 🟨,
  • 62', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
  • 63', Robson Matheus 🟨,
  • 63', Chavez A. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
  • 67', Batallini D. 🟨,
  • 68', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
  • 70', Torren M. ↓, Sagredo J. ↑,
  • 77', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
  • 77', Melgar C. A. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
  • 87', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
  • 87', Justiniano L. 🟨,
  • 89', Lampe C. 🟨,
  • 90', Jusino A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Quiroga A. ⚽, Godoy J. (A),

Chances of winning


The Strongest
27.6%		Draw
23%		Bolívar
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 23.2% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 22.3% 42.5%

The Strongest - Bolívar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.32 ↑
(2.59)		 3.95 ↓
(4.03)		 1.91 ↓
(2.29)		 7.8%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for The Strongest - Bolívar?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for The Strongest: 11.9% – 76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bolívar (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 1.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:41. (average 1.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, The Strongest won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 2.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between The Strongest - Bolívar were as follows:
    09.11.2025 The Strongest - Bolívar 3:5
    27.08.2025 Bolívar - The Strongest 1:0
    22.06.2025 Bolívar - The Strongest 1:2
    08.12.2024 Bolívar - The Strongest 4:1
    18.09.2024 The Strongest - Bolívar 1:1
    Latest results of The Strongest
    26.11.2025 Guabirá - The Strongest 3:3 ✺
    22.11.2025 The Strongest - Real Oruro 2:1 ✺
    18.11.2025 The Strongest - Guabirá 2:1
    15.11.2025 Aurora - The Strongest 1:2
    12.11.2025 The Strongest - Aurora 2:2
    Latest results of Bolívar
    26.11.2025 Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6:1
    23.11.2025 Always Ready - Bolívar 1:1 ✺
    19.11.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Bolívar 0:3 ✺
    09.11.2025 The Strongest - Bolívar 3:5
    06.11.2025 Bolívar - Aurora 6:1 ✺
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready ✔ 27205280:275365
    2The Strongest27201669:432661
    3Bolivar27185472:304259
    4Blooming ✔ 281341151:54-343
    5SA Bulo Bulo27117952:421040
    6Guabira281241257:57040
    7Independiente271161047:51-439
    8GV San Jose281141339:48-937
    9Nacional Potosi27971146:40634
    10Oriente Petrolero28961342:50-833
    11Tomayapo27881135:47-1232
    12Real Oruro28871356:59-331
    13Universitario de Vinto27681330:50-2026
    14Academia del Balompie27581426:57-3123
    15Wilstermann ✔ 28461828:63-3518
    16Aurora ✔ 27941447:59-12-2

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Always Ready is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Blooming is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Qualification )
    Wilstermann is Division Profesional (Relegation)
    Aurora is Relegated to
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