Result
2:3
30/11/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 26
- Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (107/180) | 81% (320/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (107/180) | 81% (320/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 43% (19/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (34/69) | 72% (83/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 15', 1 - 0, Arrascaita J. (Pen),
- 27', 1 - 1, Quaglio F. (Own goal),
- 33', Quiroga A. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 2, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Rivero E. (A),
- 36', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 3, Melgar C. A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lovera J. ↓, Ursino L. ↑,
- 57', Altamirano S. 🟨,
- 62', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 63', Robson Matheus 🟨,
- 63', Chavez A. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
- 67', Batallini D. 🟨,
- 68', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
- 70', Torren M. ↓, Sagredo J. ↑,
- 77', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 77', Melgar C. A. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 87', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
- 87', Justiniano L. 🟨,
- 89', Lampe C. 🟨,
- 90', Jusino A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Quiroga A. ⚽, Godoy J. (A),
Chances of winning
The Strongest
27.6% | Draw
23% | Bolívar
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
The Strongest - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.59) |
3.95 ↓
(4.03) |
1.91 ↓
(2.29) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for The Strongest - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for The Strongest: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bolívar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 1.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:41. (average 1.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, The Strongest won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 2.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Bolívar?
The Strongest has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against The Strongest?
Bolívar has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between The Strongest - Bolívar were as follows:
09.11.2025
The Strongest
-
Bolívar
3:5
27.08.2025
Bolívar
-
The Strongest
1:0
22.06.2025
Bolívar
-
The Strongest
1:2
08.12.2024
Bolívar
-
The Strongest
4:1
18.09.2024
The Strongest
-
Bolívar
1:1
Latest results of The Strongest
Latest results of Bolívar
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Academia del Balompie | San Juan FC | 3 : 0, 1 : 3 |
