Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (143/206) | 89% (412/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (143/206) | 89% (412/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 63% (35/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (38/68) | 75% (106/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.33 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
- 40', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Cuellar J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Velasquez J. ⚽,
- 63', Velasquez J. 🟨,
- 64', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 65', Nunez M. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
- 65', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 66', Tobar T. ↓, Alipaz J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Calicho J. ⚽, Alipaz J. (A),
- 74', Castro R. ↓, Ribera C. ↑,
- 81', Sagredo J. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
- 81', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
- 81', Torren M. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
- 90', Calicho J. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
- 90', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cuellar J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Gimenez D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Fabio Gomes (Pen),
Chances of winning
Universitario de Vinto
17.9% | Draw
22.5% | Bolívar
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.07 ↑
(3.4) |
4.12 ↑
(3.9) |
1.55 ↓
(1.9) |
8.5%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Uni de Vinto (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bolívar is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Bolívar?
Universitario de Vinto has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Universitario de Vinto?
Bolívar has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar were as follows:
10.03.2025
Bolívar
-
Universitario de Vinto
3:2
07.03.2025
Universitario de Vinto
-
Bolívar
1:2
13.12.2024
Bolívar
-
Universitario de Vinto
5:1
25.08.2024
Universitario de Vinto
-
Bolívar
0:1
09.12.2023
Bolívar
-
Universitario de Vinto
3:2
Latest results of Universitario de Vinto
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
