Atalanta vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Atalanta - Bologna
Result
2:0
13/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 32
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv, K24
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.58
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
72% (217/300)82% (372/456)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.33
Total shots
412
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1421
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
72% (217/300)82% (372/456)
Long passes
47% (29/62)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
57% (39/69)63% (74/117)
Crosses
23% (3/13)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.78
Fouls
1712
Tackles
50% (8/16)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4959
Clearances Total
2626
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
0.331.81
Goals prevented
0.33-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Retegui M. , Bellanova R. (A),
  • 7', Hien I. 🟨,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Pasalic M. , Retegui M. (A),
  • 34', Zappacosta D. 🟨,
  • 45', Kolasinac S. , Toloi R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fabbian G. , Cambiaghi N. ,
  • 46', Orsolini R. , Dominguez B. ,
  • 46', Lucumi J. , Casale N. ,
  • 60', Retegui M. 🟨,
  • 66', Toloi R. 🟨,
  • 71', De Silvestri L. , Holm E. ,
  • 77', Casale N. , Erlic M. ,
  • 81', Lookman A. , Brescianini M. ,
  • 81', Retegui M. , Maldini D. ,
  • 81', Bellanova R. , Cuadrado J. ,
  • 85', Zappacosta D. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 90+3', Miranda J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
46.6%
Draw
28%
Bologna
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2% 28% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta's form might have worsened.
  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Atalanta - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.85)
    3.4
    (3.69)
    3.74
    (4.32)
    4.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atalanta - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 22.5%57.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bologna (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Bologna (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0.
    • Atalanta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bologna in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atalanta will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Posch S. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Calabria D. (Ankle Injury) Ferguson L. (Muscle Injury) Skorupski L. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Palestra M. (Inactive) Toloi R. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:19 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Bologna were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Atalanta - Bologna 0:1
    28.09.2024 Bologna - Atalanta 1:1
    03.03.2024 Atalanta - Bologna 1:2
    23.12.2023 Bologna - Atalanta 1:0
    08.04.2023 Atalanta - Bologna 0:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    09.03.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 0:4
    01.03.2025 Atalanta - Venezia 0:0
    23.02.2025 Empoli - Atalanta 0:5
    Latest results of Bologna
    07.04.2025 Bologna - Napoli 1:1
    01.04.2025 Empoli - Bologna 0:3
    29.03.2025 Venezia - Bologna 0:1
    09.03.2025 Verona - Bologna 1:2
    02.03.2025 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B