Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 4
- Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (319/405) | 67% (198/295) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.61 | 0.96 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
79% (319/405) | 67% (198/295) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (36/74) | 40% (34/85) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (87/137) | 51% (37/73) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (5/19) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.96 | 2.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.04 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
- 37', Vitinha 🟨,
- 42', Masini P. 🟨,
- 43', Ostigard L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ostigard L. ↓, Marcandalli A. ↑,
- 53', Colombo L. ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
- 59', Dominguez B. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
- 59', De Silvestri L. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Ellertsson M. E. ⚽, Malinovskyi R. (A),
- 69', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
- 69', Vitinha ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
- 72', Moro N. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
- 72', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Castro S. ⚽, Cambiaghi N. (A),
- 74', Norton-Cuffy B. 🟨,
- 85', Heggem T. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 1, Orsolini R. (Pen),
- 90+11', Carboni V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bologna 43.6% | Draw 34.2% | Genoa 22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Bologna - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.23 ↑ (1.76) |
2.8 ↓ (3.45) |
4.4 ↓ (5.3) |
3.3% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bologna - Genoa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Bologna will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Casale N.
(Thigh Injury)
Immobile C.
(Thigh Injury)
Pobega T.
(Thigh Injury)
Sulemana I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Onana J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Genoa?
Bologna has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Bologna?
Genoa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Genoa were as follows:
24.05.2025
Bologna
-
Genoa
1:3
19.10.2024
Genoa
-
Bologna
2:2
24.05.2024
Genoa
-
Bologna
2:0
05.01.2024
Bologna
-
Genoa
1:1
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | AC Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
3 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
5 | Inter | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
7 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
9 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
10 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 4 |
16 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
18 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
20 | Lecce | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B