Bologna vs Genoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Bologna - Genoa
Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 4
  • Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.53
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
79% (319/405)67% (198/295)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.610.96
Total shots
147
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
79% (319/405)67% (198/295)
Long passes
49% (36/74)40% (34/85)
Passes in final third
64% (87/137)51% (37/73)
Crosses
26% (5/19)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.52
Throw-ins
2628
Fouls
1215
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5750
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.962.61
Goals prevented
-0.040.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
  • 37', Vitinha 🟨,
  • 42', Masini P. 🟨,
  • 43', Ostigard L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ostigard L. , Marcandalli A. ,
  • 53', Colombo L. , Ekuban C. ,
  • 59', Dominguez B. , Cambiaghi N. ,
  • 59', De Silvestri L. , Zortea N. ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Ellertsson M. E. , Malinovskyi R. (A),
  • 69', Malinovskyi R. , Carboni V. ,
  • 69', Vitinha , Ekhator J. ,
  • 72', Moro N. , Ferguson L. ,
  • 72', Bernardeschi F. , Dallinga T. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Castro S. , Cambiaghi N. (A),
  • 74', Norton-Cuffy B. 🟨,
  • 85', Heggem T. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 1, Orsolini R. (Pen),
  • 90+11', Carboni V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bologna
43.6%
Draw
34.2%
Genoa
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 27.6% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 27.2% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.
  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Bologna - Genoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.76)
    2.8
    (3.45)
    4.4
    (5.3)
    3.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bologna - Genoa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Bologna will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.04%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Bologna is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Pobega T. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Genoa: Cornet M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onana J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Genoa were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Bologna - Genoa 1:3
    19.10.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:2
    24.05.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:0
    05.01.2024 Bologna - Genoa 1:1
    Latest results of Bologna
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0
    23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0
    16.08.2025 Bologna - OFI 2:4
    09.08.2025 Stuttgart - Bologna 0:1
    Latest results of Genoa
    15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1
    31.08.2025 Genoa - Juventus 0:1
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    15.08.2025 Genoa - Vicenza Virtus 3:0
    09.08.2025 Rennes - Genoa 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AC Milan54019:3612
    2Napoli540110:5512
    3AS Roma54015:1412
    4Juventus53209:5411
    5Inter530213:769
    6Atalanta523010:469
    7Cremonese52306:429
    8Sassuolo63038:809
    9Como52216:428
    10Bologna52125:507
    11Cagliari52125:507
    12Udinese52125:8-37
    13Lazio52037:436
    14Parma51223:6-35
    15Torino51132:10-84
    16Fiorentina50323:6-33
    17Verona60332:9-73
    18Pisa50233:6-32
    19Genoa50232:7-52
    20Lecce50234:10-62

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B