Bologna vs Genoa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).

: Serie A - Round 38
Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.17
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
13	1
Passes
82% (332/407)	71% (201/283)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.09	2.35
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
13	1
Touches in opposition box
34	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
23	13
Passes
82% (332/407)	71% (201/283)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
72% (101/141)	39% (13/33)
Crosses
19% (7/36)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.56
Throw-ins
26	25
Fouls
13	23
Tackles
56% (9/16)	36% (5/14)
Duels won
66	41
Clearances
14	45
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
2.35	1.09
Goals prevented
-0.65	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Vitinha ⚽, Martin A. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Venturino L. ⚽,
39', Aebischer M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 3, Venturino L. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Holm E. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
46', Aebischer M. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
49', Otoa S. 🟨,
52', Lykogiannis C. 🟨,
56', Castro S. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
63', Venturino L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
63', Siegrist B. ↓, Sommariva D. ↑,
63', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
63', Bani M. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Orsolini R. ⚽, Casale N. (A),
75', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
79', Orsolini R. 🟨,
80', Onana J. 🟨,
81', Freuler R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
82', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
87', Calabria D. 🟨,
89', Lucumi J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bologna
59.9%

Draw
23.5%

Genoa
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.6%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

18.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Bologna - Genoa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	4.03 ↓ (4.3)	5.69 ↓ (5.97)	4.2% (3.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bologna - Genoa?

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 25 - 86.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 73.6% – 98.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bologna will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 1.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
There will not play in Bologna: Erlic M. (Calf Injury) Miranda J. (Red Card) Odgaard J. (Injury)
There will not play in Genoa: Balotelli M. (Coach's decision) Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury) Matturro A. (Thigh Injury) Miretti F. (Shoulder Injury) Vasquez J. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Genoa?

Bologna has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Bologna?

Genoa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Genoa were as follows:

19.10.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:2

24.05.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:0

05.01.2024 Bologna - Genoa 1:1

Latest results of Bologna

18.05.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 3:2 ✺

14.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 0:1 ✺

09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Bologna - Juventus 1:1 ✺

28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Genoa

17.05.2025 Genoa - Atalanta 2:3 ✺

11.05.2025 Napoli - Genoa 2:2 ✺

05.05.2025 Genoa - Milan 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Como - Genoa 1:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Genoa - Lazio 0:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Bologna - Genoa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus
World	Onefootball