Genoa vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
3:2
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 22
  • Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 4
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.530.49
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
63
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Passes
76% (252/330)78% (282/360)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.530.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.130.17
Total shots
813
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
14
Blocked shots
16
Shots inside the box
47
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1714
Passes
76% (252/330)78% (282/360)
Long passes
40% (23/57)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
60% (57/95)68% (79/117)
Crosses
17% (4/24)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.63
Throw ins
2514
Fouls
1417
Tackles
78% (7/9)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
2036
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.172.13
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Ferguson L. ⚽, Dominguez B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Otoa S. (Own goal),
  • 55', Ekhator J. ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
  • 56', Martin A. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
  • 57', Skorupski L. 🟥,
  • 61', Dominguez B. ↓, Ravaglia F. ↑,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Malinovskyi R. ⚽,
  • 68', Immobile C. 🟨,
  • 71', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
  • 73', Rowe J. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
  • 74', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
  • 74', Odgaard J. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
  • 74', Vasquez J. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
  • 74', Immobile C. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
  • 76', Ravaglia F. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Ekuban C. ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Junior Messias ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
  • 90+6', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
  • 90+7', Marcandalli A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Genoa
29.5%		Draw
31.8%		Bologna
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 30.2% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 30.9% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Genoa - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.24 ↑
    (3.13)    		 3 ↓
    (3.15)    		 2.48 ↑
    (2.41)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Genoa - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Bologna will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 47.1% – 83.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Bologna (1.35) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Genoa (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Genoa (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bologna will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bologna (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Ostigard L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Collarbone injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury) Miranda J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Muscle Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Bologna were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1
    24.05.2025 Bologna - Genoa 1:3
    19.10.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:2
    24.05.2024 Genoa - Bologna 2:0
    05.01.2024 Bologna - Genoa 1:1
    Latest results of Genoa
    18.01.2026 Parma - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    12.01.2026 Genoa - Cagliari 3:0 ✺
    08.01.2026 Milan - Genoa 1:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Genoa - Pisa 1:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Roma - Genoa 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Bologna
    22.01.2026 Bologna - Celtic 2:2 ✺
    18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    15.01.2026 Verona - Bologna 2:3 ✺
    10.01.2026 Como - Bologna 1:1 ✺
    07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter30223566:244269
    2AC Milan30189347:232463
    3Napoli30195646:301662
    4Como30169553:223157
    5Juventus30159652:292354
    6AS Roma301731040:231754
    7Atalanta301311641:271450
    8Lazio301110931:28343
    9Bologna301261238:36242
    10Sassuolo301161336:40-439
    11Udinese301161335:42-739
    12Parma308101221:38-1734
    13Genoa30891336:42-633
    14Torino30961534:53-1933
    15Cagliari30791431:42-1130
    16Fiorentina306111335:44-929
    17Cremonese30691525:44-1927
    18Lecce30761721:40-1927
    19Verona30391822:52-3018
    20Pisa302121623:54-3118

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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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