Sassuolo vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 29
  • Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.540.70
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
43
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
74
Passes
81% (345/424)76% (274/359)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.540.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.28
Total shots
916
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
48
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1116
Passes
81% (345/424)76% (274/359)
Long passes
37% (20/54)41% (29/71)
Passes in final third
69% (85/124)65% (70/108)
Crosses
25% (4/16)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.52
Throw ins
2214
Fouls
1611
Tackles
40% (4/10)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.281.00
Goals prevented
0.281.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Dallinga T. ,
  • 24', Dallinga T. 🟨,
  • 29', De Silvestri L. , Zortea N. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Matic N. , Volpato C. ,
  • 59', Pinamonti A. , Nzola M. ,
  • 64', Moro N. , Freuler R. ,
  • 64', Dallinga T. , Castro S. ,
  • 75', Garcia U. , Doig J. ,
  • 75', Kone I. , Vranckx A. ,
  • 77', Nzola M. 🟨,
  • 83', Sohm S. , Pobega T. ,
  • 83', Odgaard J. , Bernardeschi F. ,
  • 87', Berardi D. , Bakola D. ,
  • 90+6', Zortea N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sassuolo
39.2%
Draw
29.7%
Bologna
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 27.5% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 28.9% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sassuolo's performance.
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sassuolo - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.85)
    3.19
    (3.45)
    3.08
    (2.43)
    4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sassuolo - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 59.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - draw (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Bologna (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Sassuolo (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Sassuolo (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 3 - 30%). Bologna (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 0.
    • In recent matches, Sassuolo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bologna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bologna has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Fadera A. (Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Ferguson L. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sassuolo - Bologna were as follows:
    28.12.2025 Bologna - Sassuolo 1:1
    03.02.2024 Bologna - Sassuolo 4:2
    28.10.2023 Sassuolo - Bologna 1:1
    08.05.2023 Sassuolo - Bologna 1:1
    12.11.2022 Bologna - Sassuolo 3:0
    Latest results of Sassuolo
    09.03.2026 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:1
    01.03.2026 Sassuolo - Atalanta 2:1
    20.02.2026 Sassuolo - Verona 3:0
    15.02.2026 Udinese - Sassuolo 1:2
    08.02.2026 Sassuolo - Inter Milan 0:5
    Latest results of Bologna
    12.03.2026 Bologna - Roma 1:1
    08.03.2026 Bologna - Verona 1:2
    02.03.2026 Pisa - Bologna 0:1
    26.02.2026 Bologna - Brann 1:0
    23.02.2026 Bologna - Udinese 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter30223566:244269
    2AC Milan30189347:232463
    3Napoli30195646:301662
    4Como30169553:223157
    5Juventus30159652:292354
    6AS Roma301731040:231754
    7Atalanta301311641:271450
    8Lazio301110931:28343
    9Bologna301261238:36242
    10Sassuolo301161336:40-439
    11Udinese301161335:42-739
    12Parma308101221:38-1734
    13Genoa30891336:42-633
    14Torino30961534:53-1933
    15Cagliari30791431:42-1130
    16Fiorentina306111335:44-929
    17Cremonese30691525:44-1927
    18Lecce30761721:40-1927
    19Verona30391822:52-3018
    20Pisa302121623:54-3118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B