Verona vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Serie A - Round 16

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.74
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
5	5
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
4	5
Passes
74% (251/340)	82% (436/532)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.68	1.45
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked shots
6	2
Shots inside the box
10	6
Shots outside the box
5	8
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
20	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	2
Free kicks
14	13
Passes
74% (251/340)	82% (436/532)
Long passes
27% (16/59)	53% (39/74)
Passes in final third
60% (46/77)	67% (68/102)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.62
Throw ins
13	25
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
47% (9/19)	44% (4/9)
Duels won
72	51
Clearances
31	16
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.45	0.68
Goals prevented
-1.55	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
12', Nunez U. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Orban G. ⚽, Sarr A. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Orsolini R. ⚽, Freuler R. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Odgaard J. ⚽, Dominguez B. (A),
42', Vitik M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 3, Castro S. ⚽, Pobega T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez U. ↓, Slotsager T. ↑,
53', Al Musrati ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
53', Serdar S. ↓, Giovane ↑,
59', Orsolini R. 🟨,
65', Castro S. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
66', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Freuler R. (Own goal),
77', Niasse C. ↓, Cham F. ↑,
79', Odgaard J. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
80', Holm E. ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
82', Sarr A. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
90', Orsolini R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,

Chances of winning

Verona
25.1%

Draw
30.4%

Bologna
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.5%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Verona - Bologna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.63)	3.14 ↓ (3.33)	2.13 ↑ (2.1)	5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Verona - Bologna?

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 6 - 10%). Bologna will win (votes: 35 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 31.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 45.8% – 70.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 17 - 63%). Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Verona (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Verona (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Verona (1.66) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.75 - Bologna (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bologna (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Verona (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Bologna (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 10 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Bologna could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Verona won against Bologna?

Verona has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Verona?

Bologna has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Verona - Bologna were as follows:

09.03.2025 Verona - Bologna 1:2

30.12.2024 Bologna - Verona 2:3

23.02.2024 Bologna - Verona 2:0

31.10.2023 Bologna - Verona 2:0

18.09.2023 Verona - Bologna 0:0

Latest results of Verona

11.01.2026 Verona - Lazio 0:1 ✺

07.01.2026 Napoli - Verona 2:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Verona - Torino 0:3 ✺

28.12.2025 Milan - Verona 3:0 ✺

14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Bologna

10.01.2026 Como - Bologna 1:1 ✺

07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Inter Milan - Bologna 3:1 ✺

28.12.2025 Bologna - Sassuolo 1:1 ✺

22.12.2025 Napoli - Bologna 2:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	62:21	41	64
2	AC Milan	26	15	9	2	41:20	21	54
3	Napoli	26	15	5	6	39:27	12	50
4	AS Roma	26	16	2	8	34:16	18	50
5	Juventus	26	13	7	6	43:25	18	46
6	Como	26	12	9	5	41:19	22	45
7	Atalanta	26	12	9	5	36:22	14	45
8	Bologna	26	10	6	10	35:32	3	36
9	Sassuolo	26	10	5	11	32:35	-3	35
10	Lazio	26	8	10	8	26:25	1	34
11	Udinese	26	9	5	12	28:39	-11	32
12	Parma	26	8	8	10	19:31	-12	32
13	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	28:35	-7	29
14	Genoa	26	6	9	11	32:37	-5	27
15	Torino	26	7	6	13	25:47	-22	27
16	Fiorentina	26	5	9	12	30:39	-9	24
17	Cremonese	26	5	9	12	21:36	-15	24
18	Lecce	26	6	6	14	17:33	-16	24
19	Pisa	26	1	12	13	20:43	-23	15
20	Verona	26	2	9	15	19:46	-27	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B