Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

League One - Round 41
Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	0.14
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
8	3
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
78% (391/500)	62% (184/297)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30	0.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	0.53
Total shots
8	3
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
1	0
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
4	2
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
17	15
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
10	7
Passes
78% (391/500)	62% (184/297)
Long passes
28% (19/69)	21% (17/80)
Passes in final third
64% (87/135)	50% (74/149)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.75
Fouls
7	10
Tackles
63% (12/19)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
63	40
Clearances Total
38	18
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.53	0.95
Goals prevented
0.53	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Forrester W. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
30', Butcher M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Forde S. 🟨,
64', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
65', Forde S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
65', Sawyers R. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
72', Morley A. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
72', Mendes C. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Collins A. ⚽, Jones G. (A),
77', Shaw K. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
77', O'Donkor G. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
80', Moore T. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
67.5%

Draw
19.5%

Bristol Rovers
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.9%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.9 ↑ (4.03)	7.25 ↑ (6.06)	5.9% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
Recent matches Bolton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bristol Rovers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.
In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Santos R. (Lower Back Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Moore T. (Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Bristol Rovers?

Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Bolton Wanderers?

Bristol Rovers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2

06.04.2024 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 0:2

16.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:2

07.05.2023 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 2:3

02.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:1

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

01.04.2025 Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Blackpool - Bolton Wanderers 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Stockport County 0:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

01.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers 5:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Luton	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
2	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two