Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 41
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.14
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
78% (391/500)62% (184/297)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.53
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
10
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1715
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
107
Passes
78% (391/500)62% (184/297)
Long passes
28% (19/69)21% (17/80)
Passes in final third
64% (87/135)50% (74/149)
Crosses
27% (4/15)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.75
Fouls
710
Tackles
63% (12/19)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6340
Clearances Total
3818
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.530.95
Goals prevented
0.53-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Forrester W. , Thomason G. ,
  • 30', Butcher M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Forde S. 🟨,
  • 64', Dacres-Cogley J. , Jones G. ,
  • 65', Forde S. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 65', Sawyers R. , Ward G. ,
  • 72', Morley A. , Matete J. ,
  • 72', Mendes C. , Dempsey K. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Collins A. , Jones G. (A),
  • 77', Shaw K. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 77', O'Donkor G. , Thomas L. ,
  • 80', Moore T. , Hunt J. ,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
67.5%
Draw
19.5%
Bristol Rovers
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 22.8% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 21.9% 14.6%

Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.4
(1.48)
4.9
(4.03)
7.25
(6.06)
5.9%
(8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
    • Recent matches Bolton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bristol Rovers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Santos R. (Lower Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Moore T. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2
    06.04.2024 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 0:2
    16.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:2
    07.05.2023 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 2:3
    02.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff22152540:231747
    2Lincoln23135534:231144
    3Bradford City22127332:211143
    4Stockport County22115633:29438
    5Huddersfield23114842:311137
    6Bolton22107530:21937
    7Stevenage21106525:17836
    8Luton23105833:28535
    9Wycombe2378829:27229
    10Reading2278729:28129
    11Mansfield2285928:28029
    12Wigan2278725:25029
    13Blackpool23851029:30-129
    14Peterborough22921126:28-229
    15Barnsley2084832:32028
    16Leyton Orient23841134:38-428
    17AFC Wimbledon22841024:30-628
    18Burton2276923:29-627
    19Northampton22831122:28-627
    20Exeter22821222:21126
    21Plymouth23821328:38-1026
    22Rotherham23661122:33-1124
    23Doncaster23641323:40-1722
    24Port Vale22361313:30-1715

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two