Result
2:0
27/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/488) | 79% (305/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/488) | 79% (305/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (33/54) | 29% (17/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (93/133) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Artan O. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
- 42', Jack R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Amilton ⚽,
- 50', Alic E. 🟨,
- 55', Baluta A. ↓, Aganspahic A. ↑,
- 69', Balburdia M. ↓, Cayli M. A. ↑,
- 69', Aganspahic A. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
- 70', Jack R. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 70', Catakovic H. ↓, Kayode O. ↑,
- 85', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 90', Oztonga O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Faye M. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
- 90+3', Beyaz O. ↓, Cavare D. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Gedik E. ⚽, Lus B. (A),
Chances of winning
Erokspor
61.8% | Draw
22.2% | Boluspor
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Erokspor - Boluspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.55) |
4.13 ↓
(4.22) |
5.8 ↑
(5.13) |
8.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Boluspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Boluspor (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Erokspor will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 12).
- Erokspor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Boluspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erokspor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Niyaz R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Boluspor: Davas D.
(Yellow Cards)
Lico D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Boluspor: Alici B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Boluspor?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boluspor won against Erokspor?
Boluspor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Boluspor were as follows:
03.10.2025
Boluspor
-
Erokspor
1:3
02.02.2025
Erokspor
-
Boluspor
1:1
24.08.2024
Boluspor
-
Erokspor
2:1
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Boluspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:51 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
