Bonsucesso vs Duque de Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca B1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Bonsucesso
41.3%
Draw
32.9%
Duque de Caxias
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 31% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 33% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonsucesso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.08)
    2.75
    (2.94)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Bonsucesso has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Duque de Caxias is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bonsucesso could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bonsucesso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bonsucesso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Duque de Caxias - Bonsucesso 1:0
    27.09.2025 Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias 2:0
    Latest results of Bonsucesso
    Latest results of Duque de Caxias
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bonsucesso (1)Duque de Caxias (4)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Sao Cristovao (2)Serrano FC (3)0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Bonsucesso (1)Serrano FC (3)0 : 0, 1 : 2