Bonsucesso vs Nova Cidade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca B1 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Bonsucesso
54.5%
Draw
29.6%
Nova Cidade
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 24.5% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 22.9% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bonsucesso's form might have worsened.
  • Nova Cidade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonsucesso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.47)
    3.12
    (3.7)
    5.8
    (6.59)
    8.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
    • Bonsucesso has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nova Cidade has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nova Cidade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Nova Cidade has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Bonsucesso is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Bonsucesso will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Bonsucesso
    18.10.2025 Niteroiense - Bonsucesso 2:3
    11.10.2025 Bonsucesso - Paduano 2:1
    20.09.2025 Campo Grande - Bonsucesso 1:1
    Latest results of Nova Cidade
    18.10.2025 Nova Cidade - Artsul 0:0
    04.10.2025 Nova Cidade - Petrópolis 0:1
    13.09.2025 Nova Cidade - Niteroiense 0:0
    06.09.2025 Paduano - Nova Cidade 5:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bonsucesso (1)Duque de Caxias (4)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Sao Cristovao (2)Serrano FC (3)0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Bonsucesso (1)Serrano FC (3)0 : 0, 1 : 2