Bristol Rugby vs Bordeaux Bègles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
15:27
18/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 1
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
portugalPortugalSport TV7
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
24
Conversion goals
12
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
11
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 17)
  • 10', Oghre G. (Try),
  • 14', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
  • 22', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
  • 23', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Coleman A. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 10)
  • 64', Janse van Rensburg B. (Try),
  • 65', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Jalibert M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 73', Worsley S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 79', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
  • 80', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rugby
27.4%
Draw
3.7%
Bordeaux Bègles
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 4.1% 70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 3.2% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rugby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bordeaux Bègles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bristol Rugby - Bordeaux Bègles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.58)
    24.88
    (22.67)
    1.34
    (1.31)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rugby - Bordeaux Bègles?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +8.5 - Bordeaux Bègles (1.87) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 66.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:35.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bristol is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Bordeaux Bègles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bordeaux Bègles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bordeaux Bègles has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Bordeaux Bègles is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bristol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 71:92. (average 23.7:30.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bristol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 37:20.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rugby - Bordeaux Bègles were as follows:
    16.12.2023 Bordeaux Bègles - Bristol Rugby 36:17
    Latest results of Bristol Rugby
    Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeicester Tigers64 : 14
    2Stade ToulousainBristol59 : 26
    3BathSaracens31 : 22
    4Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique49 : 41
    5LeinsterEdinburgh49 : 31
    6HarlequinsSale Sharks17 : 26
    7Glasgow WarriorsBulls25 : 21
    8RC ToulonnaisStormers28 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain30 : 15
    2BathNorthampton Saints43 : 41
    3LeinsterSale Sharks43 : 13
    4Glasgow WarriorsRC Toulonnais19 : 22

    Semi-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesBath
    2LeinsterRC Toulonnais

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2