Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
4:1
25/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoFOX One
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.610.93
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
94
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
51
Passes
79% (310/394)80% (414/515)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.610.93
xG on target (xGOT)
3.281.12
Total shots
157
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
137
Shots outside the box
20
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1017
Passes
79% (310/394)80% (414/515)
Long passes
40% (26/65)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)65% (81/125)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.87
Throw ins
2423
Fouls
1710
Tackles
60% (12/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4956
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.123.28
Goals prevented
0.12-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. ⚽,
  • 13', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Zappacosta D. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', Can E. 🟨,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Pasalic M. ⚽, De Roon M. (A),
  • 60', Beier M. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
  • 60', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 69', Hien I. 🟨,
  • 69', Silva F. 🟨,
  • 70', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
  • 70', Bellingham J. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 72', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
  • 72', Kolasinac S. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Chukwuemeka C. (A),
  • 77', Scalvini G. ↓, Djimsiti B. ↑,
  • 85', Zalewski N. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
  • 90+7', Schlotterbeck N. 🟥,
  • 90+7', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 4 - 1, Samardzic L. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Atalanta
44.1%		Draw
25.3%		Borussia Dortmund
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 25.4% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.6% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
    •

    Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.18 ↑
    (2.05)    		 3.79 ↑
    (3.76)    		 3.14 ↓
    (3.41)    		 4.1%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 37 - 64.9%). Borussia D will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 52.5% – 77.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Borussia D (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Atalanta (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Borussia D (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 15 - 75%). Borussia D (votes: 4 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.
    • Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Atalanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: De Ketelaere C. (Knee Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Drewes P. (Inactive) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Sule N. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Atalanta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    17.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta 2:0
    Latest results of Atalanta
    22.02.2026 Atalanta - Napoli 2:1 ✺
    17.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta 2:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 0:2 ✺
    09.02.2026 Atalanta - Cremonese 2:1 ✺
    05.02.2026 Atalanta - Juventus 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    21.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺
    17.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta 2:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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