Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona
Result
3:1
15/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, RTL Club
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandShabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, Canal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.850.49
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
112
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
84% (352/421)85% (436/512)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.850.49
xG on target (xGOT)
4.310.20
Total shots
187
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3620
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
84% (352/421)85% (436/512)
Long passes
38% (20/52)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
72% (72/100)73% (78/107)
Crosses
31% (8/26)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.97
Fouls
1411
Tackles
60% (12/20)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5047
Clearances Total
1826
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
18
xGOT faced
0.204.31
Goals prevented
0.201.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 35', de Jong F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. , Bensebaini R. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Bensebaini R. (Own goal), Lopez F. (A),
  • 56', Nmecha F. 🟨,
  • 59', Gavi , Pedri ,
  • 64', Nmecha F. , Reyna G. ,
  • 64', Beier M. , Duranville J. ,
  • 70', Lopez F. , Garcia E. ,
  • 70', Yamal L. , Torres F. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Guirassy S. ,
  • 77', Adeyemi K. , Gittens J. ,
  • 77', Couto Y. , Brandt J. ,
  • 86', Lewandowski R. , Olmo D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4rtfkwby

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
27.4%
Draw
23.2%
Barcelona
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 20.2% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 20.8% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund's form might have worsened.
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+41.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-36.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (1.4)
    4.15
    (4.6)
    1.95
    (7)
    3.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 20 - 25.6%). Barcelona will win (votes: 47 - 60.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 49.4%71.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Barcelona (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • AH +0.5 - Borussia D (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-4.
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Barcelona is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Borussia D could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Borussia D have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Barcelona is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.8:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0
    11.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 2:3
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Barcelona
    12.04.2025 Leganés - Barcelona 0:1
    05.04.2025 Barcelona - Betis 1:1
    30.03.2025 Barcelona - Girona 4:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce