Result
2:4
11/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Angola | Z Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+ |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode, JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kosovo | SuperSport 4 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 3, Premier Sports 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 4 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.62 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
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62% | 38% |
Total shots |
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19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 0 |
Passes |
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90% (541/604) | 79% (305/384) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.62 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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4.28 | 2.50 |
Total shots |
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19 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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13 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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38 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 3 |
Offsides |
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5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 7 |
Passes |
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90% (541/604) | 79% (305/384) |
Long passes |
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58% (22/38) | 30% (16/53) |
Passes in final third |
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84% (173/205) | 60% (52/87) |
Crosses |
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11% (4/36) | 0% (0/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.27 | 0.98 |
Throw-ins |
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14 | 15 |
Fouls |
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7 | 8 |
Tackles |
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69% (11/16) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
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46 | 40 |
Clearances |
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15 | 37 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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2.50 | 4.28 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.50 | 2.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 23', Gross P. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Frimpong J. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Brandt J. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
- 43', 1 - 2, Ryerson J. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
- 45+2', Nmecha F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nmecha F. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
- 59', Tella N. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
- 59', Adli A. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
- 67', Andrich R. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 74', Adeyemi K. ↓, Can E. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 4, Guirassy S. ⚽, Can E. (A),
- 78', Xhaka G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 78', Hincapie P. ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 82', Gross P. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
- 87', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
- 87', Brandt J. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 4, Hofmann J. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen 37% | Draw 25.1% | Borussia Dortmund 37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Dortmund's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.6 ↑ (2.06) |
3.82 ↓ (4) |
2.52 ↓ (3.34) |
4.2% (3.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 17 - 30.9%). Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 47.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 34.1% – 60.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Borussia D (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DNB - Borussia D (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 1.
- Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Borussia D is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J.
(Knee Injury)
Hermoso M.
(Thigh Injury)
Mukiele N.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarco A.
(Thigh Injury)
Terrier M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mane F.
(Thigh Injury)
Paulina J.
(Thigh Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Campbell C.
(Injury)
Jessen N.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:46. (average 1.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Borussia Dortmund?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
10.01.2025
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:3
21.04.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
03.12.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Borussia Dortmund
1:1
29.01.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga