Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 3
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyARD, Das Erste, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport News, WOW
greeceGreeceERT 2
hungaryHungarySport 2
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.33
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
85% (456/535)82% (345/419)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.660.59
Total shots
206
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
124
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
4610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
85
Passes
85% (456/535)82% (345/419)
Long passes
63% (29/46)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
80% (166/208)56% (38/68)
Crosses
27% (12/44)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.17
Throw-ins
2813
Fouls
58
Tackles
67% (10/15)52% (13/25)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
755
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.590.66
Goals prevented
-0.410.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Maza I. , Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Kofane C. M. , Schick P. ,
  • 61', Terrier M. , Tillman M. ,
  • 67', Silva F. , Brandt J. ,
  • 67', Chukwuemeka C. , Beier M. ,
  • 67', Ryerson J. , Guirassy S. ,
  • 68', Anton W. 🟨,
  • 71', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 74', Nmecha F. , Gross P. ,
  • 75', Andrich R. 🟨,
  • 83', Poku E. , Tella N. ,
  • 86', Svensson D. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 87', Tillman M. 🟨,
  • 90', Can E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hofmann J. , Bade L. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
53.1%
Draw
23.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 23.6% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24% 26.3%

Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.8
(1.9)
4.06
(4.01)
4.05
(3.54)
5.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (45 of 53 users predict this - 84.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.27%94.55%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 2.
    • In recent matches, Borussia D has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bayer is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Borussia D is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Toe Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Back Injury) Blaswich J. (Inactive) Fernandez E. (Knee Injury) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 49:32. (average 2.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 1:2
    11.05.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4
    10.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3
    21.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1
    03.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    6PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    7HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    8FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    14BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    15SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    16BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    17Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    18UlmElversberg0 : 1
    19LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    20RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    24Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    25DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    26MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    27NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    28Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    29CottbusHannover1 : 0
    30SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    31IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    32SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    4WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    8MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    9Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    10Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    11DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    12DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    13B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    14St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    15CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    16IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    5Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    6FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0
    7B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    8RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1