Result
2:4
11/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Angola | Z Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | SuperSport 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 3, Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (541/604) | 79% (305/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.28 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (541/604) | 79% (305/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 30% (16/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (173/205) | 60% (52/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/36) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 4.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | 2.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 23', Gross P. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Frimpong J. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Brandt J. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
- 43', 1 - 2, Ryerson J. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
- 45+2', Nmecha F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nmecha F. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
- 59', Tella N. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
- 59', Adli A. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
- 67', Andrich R. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
- 74', Adeyemi K. ↓, Can E. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 4, Guirassy S. ⚽, Can E. (A),
- 78', Xhaka G. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 78', Hincapie P. ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 82', Gross P. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
- 87', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
- 87', Brandt J. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 4, Hofmann J. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
37% | Draw
25.1% | Borussia Dortmund
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayer Leverkusen's form might have worsened.Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Dortmund's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.06) |
3.82 ↓
(4) |
2.52 ↓
(3.34) |
4.2%
(3.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 17 - 30.9%). Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 47.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 34.1% – 60.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Borussia D (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DNB - Borussia D (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Bayer is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 1.
- Bayer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Borussia D is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bayer: Belocian J.
(Knee Injury)
Hermoso M.
(Thigh Injury)
Mukiele N.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarco A.
(Thigh Injury)
Terrier M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mane F.
(Thigh Injury)
Paulina J.
(Thigh Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Campbell C.
(Injury)
Jessen N.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:46. (average 1.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Borussia Dortmund?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
10.01.2025
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:3
21.04.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
03.12.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Borussia Dortmund
1:1
29.01.2023
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
