Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 4
tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.53
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (514/585)78% (284/366)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.590.35
Total shots
158
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
88% (514/585)78% (284/366)
Long passes
65% (49/75)60% (33/55)
Passes in final third
79% (106/135)65% (86/133)
Crosses
38% (3/8)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.25
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
1217
Tackles
73% (8/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3952
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.352.59
Goals prevented
-0.650.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Kane H. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 45', Anton W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sule N. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 48', Laimer K. 🟨,
  • 50', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 61', Jackson N. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 73', Sabitzer M. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 74', Adeyemi K. , Beier M. ,
  • 75', Kovac N. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Olise M. ,
  • 84', Gross P. , Brandt J. ,
  • 84', Guirassy S. , Silva F. ,
  • 84', Boey S. , Bischof T. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Brandt J. , Ryerson J. (A),
  • 90+2', Pavlovic A. , Kim Min-Jae ,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
73.8%
Draw
16.4%
Borussia Dortmund
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70% 17.3% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 16.5% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.36)
    6.18
    (5.48)
    10.7
    (7.47)
    1.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Borussia D will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 45.2%82.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Borussia D (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2.
    • Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Borussia D is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Bayern is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury) Urbig J. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Guerreiro R. (Injury)
    • We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:26. (average 2.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 30:10. (average 3.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2
    30.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 1:1
    30.03.2024 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    04.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 0:4
    01.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 4:2
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich770027:42321
    2RB Leipzig751110:9116
    3Stuttgart750211:6515
    4Dortmund742113:6714
    5Bayer Leverkusen742116:11514
    6FC Koln732212:10211
    7Eintracht Frankfurt731319:18110
    8Hoffenheim731312:12010
    9Union Berlin731311:14-310
    10Freiburg723211:1109
    11Hamburger SV72237:10-38
    12Werder Bremen722311:16-58
    13Augsburg721412:14-27
    14St. Pauli72148:12-47
    15Wolfsburg71248:13-55
    16Mainz71158:14-64
    17Heidenheim71156:13-74
    18B. Monchengladbach70346:15-93

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga