Result
2:2
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 29
- Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Angola | Z Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Brazil | RedeTV!, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Kosovo | SuperSport 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 4 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Daystar Pacific, Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.97 | 1.50 |
Ball Possession |
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62% | 38% |
Total shots |
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28 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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11 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Passes |
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89% (570/642) | 76% (294/389) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.97 | 1.50 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.38 | 1.37 |
Total shots |
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28 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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11 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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10 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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19 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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44 | 19 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 8 |
Passes |
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89% (570/642) | 76% (294/389) |
Long passes |
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56% (24/43) | 32% (19/60) |
Passes in final third |
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80% (189/236) | 62% (54/87) |
Crosses |
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30% (6/20) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.04 | 0.69 |
Fouls |
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8 | 5 |
Tackles |
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78% (7/9) | 43% (6/14) |
Duels won |
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35 | 42 |
Clearances Total |
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21 | 28 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
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1.37 | 2.38 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.63 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 1, Beier M. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
- 54', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
- 63', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
- 63', Sane L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Guerreiro R. ⚽, Muller T. (A),
- 69', 2 - 1, Gnabry S. ⚽, Stanisic J. (A),
- 70', Brandt J. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
- 71', Ozcan S. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Anton W. ⚽,
- 81', Beier M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
- 81', Sule N. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
- 81', Muller T. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bayern Munich 65.4% | Draw 18.5% | Borussia Dortmund 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↑ (1.37) |
5.16 ↓ (5.31) |
6 ↓ (7.99) |
4.1% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Watch this match and German Bundesliga with fubo (for US customers) Network on : ESPN
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 35 - 79.5%). Borussia D will win (votes: 4 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 67.6% – 91.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Borussia D (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
- Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern won 2.
- Bayern is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Borussia D is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Borussia D have a series of guest games.
- In this match Bayern is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Davies A.
(Knee Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Musiala J.
(Muscle Injury)
Neuer M.
(Calf Injury)
Upamecano D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Azhil A.
(Thigh Injury)
Campbell C.
(Muscle Injury)
Mane F.
(Muscle Injury)
Paulina J.
(Thigh Injury)
Sabitzer M.
(Knee Injury)
Schlotterbeck N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bayern: Coman K.
(Thigh Injury)
Pavlovic A.
(Illness)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayern won 15 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 56:26 (average 2.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bayern won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:8 (average 3.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Borussia Dortmund?
Bayern Munich has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Bayern Munich?
Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
30.11.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayern Munich
1:1
30.03.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
04.11.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayern Munich
0:4
01.04.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Borussia Dortmund
4:2
08.10.2022
Borussia Dortmund
-
Bayern Munich
2:2
Latest results of Bayern Munich
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga