Result
4:0
25/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App |
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6 |
 Brazil | HBO Max |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Fiji | Sky Pacific |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 4 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 4 |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 6 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-africa | SuperSport Action |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 4, Tabii |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (571/628) | 80% (250/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.24 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (571/628) | 80% (250/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (35/49) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (155/189) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 80% (4/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 4.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Anselmino A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', Foyth J. 🟥,
- 54', Guirassy S. (Pen),
- 54', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 0, Adeyemi K. ⚽,
- 66', Partey T. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 66', Pepe N. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
- 68', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
- 69', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
- 72', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
- 74', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
- 78', Nmecha F. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
- 78', Sabitzer M. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
- 81', Silva F. (Pen),
- 84', Buchanan T. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
- 84', Anton W. ↓, Can E. ↑,
- 84', Mourino S. ↓, Navarro P. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 0, Svensson D. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund
49.9% | Draw
25.8% | Villarreal
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund's form might have worsened.Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.74) |
3.77 ↓
(3.97) |
4 ↓
(4.54) |
3.4%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Borussia D (2.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Borussia D (2.00) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(78 of 95 users predict this - 82.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.4% – 89.82%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (48 of 52 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 60 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 55 - 91.7%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 3.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Borussia D has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Villarreal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Drewes P.
(Inactive)
Duranville J.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Ozcan S.
(Inactive)
Sule N.
(Toe Injury)
- There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P.
(Knee Injury)
Costa L.
(Knee Injury)
Kambwala W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Villarreal?
Borussia Dortmund has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Villarreal won against Borussia Dortmund?
Villarreal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal were as follows:
06.08.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Villarreal
2:2
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
Latest results of Villarreal
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
