Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
25/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
fijiFijiSky Pacific
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 4, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.620.80
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
91% (571/628)80% (250/312)
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.620.80
xG on target (xGOT)
4.240.06
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
91% (571/628)80% (250/312)
Long passes
71% (35/49)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
82% (155/189)62% (49/79)
Crosses
18% (3/17)80% (4/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.42
Throw-ins
1326
Fouls
1712
Tackles
58% (11/19)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5245
Clearances
1128
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.064.24
Goals prevented
0.060.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. , Anselmino A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Foyth J. 🟥,
  • 54', Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 54', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Adeyemi K. ,
  • 66', Partey T. , Marin R. ,
  • 66', Pepe N. , Moleiro A. ,
  • 68', Guirassy S. , Silva F. ,
  • 69', Brandt J. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 72', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 74', Comesana S. , Parejo D. ,
  • 78', Nmecha F. , Gross P. ,
  • 78', Sabitzer M. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 81', Silva F. (Pen),
  • 84', Buchanan T. , Akhomach I. ,
  • 84', Anton W. , Can E. ,
  • 84', Mourino S. , Navarro P. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 0, Svensson D. , Gross P. (A),

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
49.9%
Draw
25.8%
Villarreal
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 24% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 27.1% 18.6%

Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.93
(1.74)
3.77
(3.97)
4
(4.54)
3.4%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (2.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Borussia D (2.00) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (78 of 95 users predict this - 82.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.4%89.82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (48 of 52 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 60 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 55 - 91.7%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 3.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Borussia D has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Villarreal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Muscle Injury) Drewes P. (Inactive) Duranville J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ozcan S. (Inactive) Sule N. (Toe Injury)
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal were as follows:
    06.08.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal 2:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Villarreal
    22.11.2025 Villarreal - Mallorca 2:1
    08.11.2025 Espanyol - Villarreal 0:2
    05.11.2025 Paphos - Villarreal 1:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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