Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport 6, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceERT Sports 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.201.63
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2612
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
84% (378/449)83% (373/447)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.201.63
xG on target (xGOT)
3.051.30
Total shots
2612
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
114
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
84% (378/449)83% (373/447)
Long passes
53% (27/51)52% (33/63)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)72% (75/104)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.46
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1011
Tackles
86% (6/7)67% (4/6)
Duels won
2924
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.303.05
Goals prevented
0.300.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Machino S. , Tabakovic H. (A),
  • 26', Rapp N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Elvedi N. , Stoger K. (A),
  • 59', 2 - 1, Schleusener F. ,
  • 73', Stoger K. , Neuhaus F. ,
  • 73', Machino S. , Castrop J. ,
  • 77', Muller A. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 77', Forster P. , Simic R. ,
  • 77', Beifus M. , Franke M. ,
  • 83', Egloff L. , Geller R. ,
  • 84', Geller R. 🟨,
  • 86', Netz L. 🟨,
  • 88', Rapp N. , Laghrissi E. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Tabakovic H. , Honorat F. (A),
  • 90', Honorat F. , Friedrich M. ,
  • 90+1', Sander P. , Scally J. ,
  • 90+2', Tabakovic H. , Mohya W. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Mönchengladbach
65.6%
Draw
19.4%
Karlsruher
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 21.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 21.4% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Mönchengladbach's performance.
  • Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Mönchengladbach that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.56)
    5.17
    (4.4)
    6.85
    (5.2)
    2%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 1 - 25%). Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Borussia M has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Karlsruher has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Borussia M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Borussia M has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Borussia M is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2