Borussia Mönchengladbach vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
turkeyTurkeySifir
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.73
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
20
Passes
86% (481/561)85% (539/634)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.55
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
78
Passes
86% (481/561)85% (539/634)
Long passes
45% (23/51)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)70% (93/132)
Crosses
25% (6/24)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.63
Throw-ins
2812
Fouls
87
Tackles
56% (5/9)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3344
Clearances
1634
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.551.38
Goals prevented
-0.450.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Sands J. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Kaars M. , Fujita J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Tabakovic H. , Honorat F. (A),
  • 68', Honorat F. , Herrmann C. ,
  • 68', Reyna G. , Reitz R. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Oppie L. , Kaars M. (A),
  • 86', Diks K. , Kleindienst T. ,
  • 86', Tabakovic H. , Mohya W. ,
  • 86', Stoger K. , Ranos G. ,
  • 89', Kaars M. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 89', Pereira Lage M. , Sinani D. ,
  • 90+1', Sands J. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 90+1', Oppie L. , Ritzka L. ,
  • 90+4', Engelhardt Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Irvine J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Borussia Mönchengladbach
54.9%
Draw
25.4%
St. Pauli
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 25.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24.7% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Mönchengladbach's performance.
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.91)
    3.75
    (3.7)
    4.83
    (3.7)
    5.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.25 - Borussia M (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Borussia M (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.22%99.26%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 16 - 88.9%). St. Pauli (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 2.
    • Borussia M is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • St. Pauli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St. Pauli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Borussia M is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Thigh Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Omlin J. (Muscle Injury) Sander P. (Muscle Injury) Urbich J. (Illness)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia M: Castrop J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Injury) Pereira Lage M. (Injury)
    • We predict that Borussia M will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli were as follows:
    01.11.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:4
    06.04.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1
    24.11.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 2:0
    14.01.2023 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 0:1
    Latest results of Borussia Mönchengladbach
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2