Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
09/03/2026 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB - Spring Training

Match Stats

Hits
116
Errors
01
2B - double
10
3B - triple
00
Home runs
10
Runs batted in
51
Left on base
106
Base on balls
73
Strikeouts
107
Stolen bases
22
At bat
3232
Batting average
0.3440.188

Chances of winning


Boston Red Sox
59.9%
Philadelphia Phillies
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.65)

    2.39
    (2.29)
    4.1%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 1.
    • Recent form of Boston has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Boston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Boston might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 109:119. (average 5.5:6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 65:61. (average 7.2:6.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies were as follows:
    05.03.2026 Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox 6:2
    23.07.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox 8:9
    22.07.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox 4:1
    21.07.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Boston Red Sox 3:2
    11.03.2025 Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies 8:18
    Latest results of Boston Red Sox
    MLB Spring Training Table
    2026

    Grapefruit
    PlWDLPCT
    1Atlanta Braves251726138:1000.739
    2Washington Nationals24133896:920.619
    3New York Yankees2616010129:1130.615
    4Pittsburgh Pirates2616010129:1200.615
    5St.Louis Cardinals251429105:970.609
    6New York Mets231229110:810.571
    7Boston Red Sox2412012122:1470.500
    8Houston Astros251031298:890.455
    9Baltimore Orioles2510312104:1220.455
    10Toronto Blue Jays2510213117:1110.435
    11Philadelphia Phillies2510114122:1220.417
    12Miami Marlins23831275:1030.400
    13Detroit Tigers247512121:1140.368
    14Tampa Bay Rays25811699:1230.333
    15Minnesota Twins258116109:1400.333


    Cactus
    PlWDLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers261808181:1500.692
    2San Francisco Giants261718156:1130.680
    3Texas Rangers2615011163:1220.577
    4San Diego Padres2614111169:1480.560
    5Chicago White Sox2815112151:1300.556
    6Cleveland Guardians2613112146:1310.520
    7Los Angeles Angels2915014132:1630.517
    8Colorado Rockies2612113168:1790.480
    9Arizona Diamondbacks2612113143:1740.480
    10Cincinnati Reds2612014159:1750.462
    11Athletics2712015172:1660.444
    12Milwaukee Brewers2511014147:1320.440
    13Chicago Cubs2511014123:1540.440
    14Seattle Mariners279117143:1900.346
    15Kansas City Royals278118146:1720.308