Result
0:1
07/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | DSports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (158/225) | 85% (472/553) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (158/225) | 85% (472/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/49) | 51% (23/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 76% (119/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', 0 - 1, Bobadilla D. ⚽, Ferreira (A),
- 61', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 62', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 68', Bobadilla D. ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 68', Tapia G. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 69', Rivero M. ↓, Mancebo M. ↑,
- 69', Amado A. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
- 74', Ferreira ↓, dos Santos P. ↑,
- 74', Franco A. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
- 79', Fernandez I. 🟨,
- 83', Dafonte F. ↓, Acosta J. ↑,
- 84', Rafael 🟨,
- 88', Cauly ↓, Pedro Ferreira ↑,
Chances of winning
Boston River
14.7% | Draw
25% | São Paulo
60.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Boston River - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.4 ↑
(4.77) |
3.69 ↑
(3.55) |
1.56 ↓
(1.73) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boston River - São Paulo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Boston River may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is a strong favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against São Paulo?
Boston River has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Boston River?
São Paulo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - São Paulo were as follows:
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of São Paulo
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico-MG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Juventud | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Boston River | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Palestino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
