Botafogo PB vs Ponte Preta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
66
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
48
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', Marcelo Augusto 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Denilson ,
  • 28', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Luis Miguel ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Luiz Felipe , Diego Tavares ,
  • 46', Dudu , Leo Oliveira ,
  • 46', Marcelo Augusto , Lucas Balardin ,
  • 66', Wanderson , Kevyn ,
  • 67', Denilson , Gui Sales ,
  • 67', Luis Miguel , Silvinho ,
  • 76', Gabriel Honorio , Gama ,
  • 78', Pacheco , Miguel ,
  • 78', Jonas Toro , Bruno Lopes ,
  • 86', Cassio Gabriel , Robles Fuentes A. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Bruno Lopes ,

Chances of winning


Botafogo PB
56.1%
Draw
27.6%
Ponte Preta
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 30.5% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 29.9% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.
  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Botafogo PB - Ponte Preta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.45)
    3.99
    (3)
    6.72
    (2.85)
    -9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Botafogo PB might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Botafogo PB
    02.08.2025 CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB 2:1
    28.07.2025 Botafogo PB - Brusque 1:3
    19.07.2025 Ituano - Botafogo PB 0:3
    13.07.2025 Botafogo PB - Londrina 2:0
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    02.08.2025 Ponte Preta - Guarani 1:1
    27.07.2025 Caxias - Ponte Preta 2:1
    19.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Floresta 2:1
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas22004:046
    2Botafogo PB22003:036
    3Guarani21103:124
    4Paysandu PA21102:114
    5Brusque21103:214
    6Ypiranga FC21103:214
    7Floresta EC21103:214
    8Santa Cruz21102:114
    9Barra FC21013:123
    10Maringa FC11003:213
    11Inter de Limeira21013:303
    12SER Caxias21012:203
    13Ituano21012:3-13
    14Figueirense10101:101
    15Maranhao20111:4-31
    16Itabaiana20021:3-20
    17Confianca20020:2-20
    18Ferroviaria20022:5-30
    19Anapolis20021:4-30
    20Volta Redonda20020:3-30

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D