Botafogo RJ vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Botafogo RJ - Ceará
Result
3:2
04/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.53
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
89% (456/514)85% (311/364)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.860.89
Total shots
158
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
237
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
89% (456/514)85% (311/364)
Long passes
63% (35/56)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
75% (98/131)69% (51/74)
Crosses
22% (4/18)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.44
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
1211
Tackles
71% (10/14)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1623
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.892.86
Goals prevented
-1.11-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Mastriani ,
  • 45+5', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', Willian Machado 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul , Lucas Mugni (A),
  • 61', Rodriguez S. , Nathan Fernandes ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Alex Telles (Pen),
  • 73', Fernando Sobral , Lourenco ,
  • 74', Lucas Mugni , Matheus Araujo ,
  • 76', Gonzalo Mastriani , Danilo Barbosa ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Marlon Freitas ,
  • 80', Diego , Lucas Lima ,
  • 80', Pedro Henrique , Lele ,
  • 81', Marlon Freitas , Allan ,
  • 81', Alex Telles , Ponte M. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Pedro Raul , Fabiano (A),
  • 90', Fabiano , Fernandinho ,
  • 90+9', Nathan Fernandes 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
58.7%
Draw
25.9%
Ceará
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 25% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 24% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Botafogo RJ - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.63)
    3.67
    (3.78)
    6.16
    (5.6)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5, 1st Half - Botafogo (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • AH -1 - Botafogo (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1.
    • Botafogo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Botafogo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Cuiabano (Inactive) Igor Jesus (Inactive) Leo Linck (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho (Shoulder Injury) Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury) Richard (Achilles Tendon Injury) Richardson (Heel Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Latest results of Ceará
    01.06.2025 Ceará - Atlético Mineiro 0:1
    22.05.2025 Palmeiras - Ceará 3:0
    17.05.2025 Ceará - Sport Recife 2:0
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    03.05.2025 Ceará - Vitória Salvador 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet