Result
3:2
04/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (456/514) | 85% (311/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (456/514) | 85% (311/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (35/56) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (98/131) | 69% (51/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Mastriani ⚽,
- 45+5', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
- 61', Rodriguez S. ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Alex Telles (Pen),
- 73', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 74', Lucas Mugni ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 76', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Marlon Freitas ⚽,
- 80', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Lele ↑,
- 81', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
- 81', Alex Telles ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 2, Pedro Raul ⚽, Fabiano (A),
- 90', Fabiano ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 90+9', Nathan Fernandes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
58.7% | Draw
25.9% | Ceará
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1%)
Botafogo RJ - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.63) |
3.67 ↓
(3.78) |
6.16 ↑
(5.6) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Botafogo (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1.
- Botafogo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Botafogo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Inactive)
Igor Jesus
(Inactive)
Leo Linck
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Ceará?
Botafogo RJ has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Botafogo RJ?
Ceará has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Ceará were as follows:
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
