Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (339/398) | 84% (329/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (339/398) | 84% (329/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (23/42) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (83/115) | 61% (57/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Matheus Martins ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 39', 0 - 1, Ramos C. ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
- 45+2', Cuiabano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Mugni ↓, Vina ↑,
- 46', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 59', Fernandinho ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 66', Correa J. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 70', Lourenco 🟨,
- 71', Lourenco ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
- 76', Marcal 🟨,
- 78', 0 - 2, Jeffinho ⚽,
- 81', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 87', David Ricardo 🟨,
- 88', Ramos C. ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
- 90+4', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará
37.5% | Draw
31.3% | Botafogo RJ
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceará - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.76) |
3.04 ↓
(3.09) |
3.04 ↑
(2.61) |
5.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Botafogo RJ?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 25%). Botafogo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- Ceará has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Botafogo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ceará: Diego
(Injury)
Marcos Victor
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A.
(Yellow Cards)
Barrera J.
(International duty)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Marlon Freitas
(Yellow Cards)
Montoro A.
(International duty)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Botafogo RJ?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Ceará?
Botafogo RJ has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
04.06.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Ceará
3:2
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
