Result
3:2
04/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.59 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
89% (456/514) | 85% (311/364) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.59 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.86 | 0.89 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
89% (456/514) | 85% (311/364) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (35/56) | 48% (20/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (98/131) | 69% (51/74) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (4/18) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.63 | 0.44 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 86% (12/14) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.89 | 2.86 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.11 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Gonzalo Mastriani ⚽,
- 45+5', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 53', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
- 61', Rodriguez S. ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Alex Telles (Pen),
- 73', Fernando Sobral ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 74', Lucas Mugni ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 76', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Marlon Freitas ⚽,
- 80', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Lele ↑,
- 81', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
- 81', Alex Telles ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 2, Pedro Raul ⚽, Fabiano (A),
- 90', Fabiano ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 90+9', Nathan Fernandes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ 58.7% | Draw 25.9% | Ceará 15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1%)
Botafogo RJ - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.63) |
3.67 ↓ (3.78) |
6.16 ↑ (5.6) |
5.2% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Botafogo (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1.
- Botafogo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Botafogo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Inactive)
Igor Jesus
(Inactive)
Leo Linck
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Ceará?
Botafogo RJ has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Botafogo RJ?
Ceará has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Ceará were as follows:
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet