Result
2:0
21/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/434) | 82% (338/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/434) | 82% (338/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 54% (37/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (109/166) | 69% (66/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Villamil G. ⚽, Alzugaray L. (A),
- 43', Danilo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 0, Alzugaray L. (Pen),
- 61', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
- 61', Marlon Freitas ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
- 67', Artur ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 69', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 73', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 74', Cornejo F. 🟨,
- 75', Matheus Martins ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 78', Medina J. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 78', Alzugaray L. ↓, Erique Villigua Y. H. ↑,
- 83', Mina R. 🟥,
- 84', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Allala Menendez G. F. ↑,
- 90+2', Cornejo F. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 90+7', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
54.3% | Draw
28.2% | Botafogo RJ
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LDU Quito's performance.Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.3) |
3.62 ↑
(2.99) |
5.87 ↑
(3.42) |
-1.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
LDU Quito will win
(49 of 60 users predict this - 81.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.88% – 91.46%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): LDU Quito will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in LDU Quito: Cuero Mercado J. W.
(Face Injury)
Zambrano O.
(Doping)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Ankle Injury)
David Ricardo
(Injury)
Kaio
(Hamstring Injury)
Ramos C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Botafogo RJ?
LDU Quito has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against LDU Quito?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
14.08.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
LDU Quito
1:0
08.05.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
LDU Quito
2:1
11.04.2024
LDU Quito
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
06.06.2023
LDU Quito
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
04.05.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
LDU Quito
0:0
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | LDU Quito | Palmeiras | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
Final
