LDU Quito vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ
Result
2:0
21/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.24
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
81% (352/434)82% (338/412)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.01
Total shots
204
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
272
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
81% (352/434)82% (338/412)
Long passes
41% (23/56)54% (37/68)
Passes in final third
66% (109/166)69% (66/96)
Crosses
36% (9/25)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.69
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1213
Tackles
44% (4/9)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4132
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.011.72
Goals prevented
0.01-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Villamil G. , Alzugaray L. (A),
  • 43', Danilo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Alzugaray L. (Pen),
  • 61', Allan , Newton ,
  • 61', Marlon Freitas , Arthur Cabral ,
  • 67', Artur , Montoro A. ,
  • 69', Savarino J. , Correa J. ,
  • 73', Barboza A. 🟨,
  • 74', Cornejo F. 🟨,
  • 75', Matheus Martins , Jeffinho ,
  • 78', Medina J. , Cabeza A. ,
  • 78', Alzugaray L. , Erique Villigua Y. H. ,
  • 83', Mina R. 🟥,
  • 84', Ramirez Leon B. J. , Allala Menendez G. F. ,
  • 90+2', Cornejo F. , Minda K. ,
  • 90+7', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


LDU Quito
54.3%
Draw
28.2%
Botafogo RJ
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 31.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 32.4% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LDU Quito's performance.
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LDU Quito that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.3)
    3.62
    (2.99)
    5.87
    (3.42)
    -1.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (49 of 60 users predict this - 81.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.88%91.46%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): LDU Quito will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in LDU Quito: Cuero Mercado J. W. (Face Injury) Zambrano O. (Doping)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Cuiabano (Ankle Injury) David Ricardo (Injury) Kaio (Hamstring Injury) Ramos C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 1:0
    08.05.2024 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 2:1
    11.04.2024 LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    06.06.2023 LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    04.05.2023 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 0:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    17.08.2025 LDU Quito - Manta 1:1
    14.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 1:0
    09.08.2025 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 1:0
    03.08.2025 LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    17.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 0:1
    14.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 1:0
    09.08.2025 Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ 0:5
    03.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ