Botafogo RJ vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 30
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
israelIsraelSport 1
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTV Globo Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.47
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
97
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
87% (368/424)82% (278/340)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.602.21
Total shots
189
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
814
Passes
87% (368/424)82% (278/340)
Long passes
60% (35/58)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
78% (102/131)65% (75/115)
Crosses
23% (5/22)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.36
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
148
Tackles
57% (8/14)33% (6/18)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
3136
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.212.60
Goals prevented
0.210.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Correa J. , Jeffinho (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Souza ,
  • 38', Duarte A. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Correa J. , Jeffinho (A),
  • 40', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,
  • 45+6', Souza 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Duarte A. , Guilherme ,
  • 53', Ramos C. 🟨,
  • 63', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Barreal A. (Pen),
  • 72', Jeffinho , Savarino J. ,
  • 72', Diaz L. , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 72', Souza , Escobar G. ,
  • 78', Danilo , Allan ,
  • 78', Cuiabano , Alex Telles ,
  • 79', Victor Hugo , Arao W. ,
  • 85', Barreal A. , Caballero G. ,
  • 88', Allan 🟨,
  • 89', Ramos C. , Arthur Cabral ,
  • 90+2', Luan Peres 🟨,
  • 90+6', Barboza A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
55.3%
Draw
25.5%
Santos
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 26.1% 18%

Botafogo RJ - Santos Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.74
(1.67)
3.7
(3.75)
4.91
(5)
5%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: Botafogo RJ will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Botafogo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Arthur Cabral (Inactive) Bastos (Knee Injury) Danilo (Thigh Injury) David Ricardo (Yellow Cards) Kaio (Knee Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Arm Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Neymar (Thigh Injury) Rincon T. (Calf Injury) Ze Rafael (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles (Knee Injury) Matheus Martins (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Santos were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Santos - Botafogo RJ 0:1
    26.11.2023 Botafogo RJ - Santos 1:1
    23.07.2023 Santos - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    10.11.2022 Botafogo RJ - Santos 3:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    19.10.2025 Ceará - Botafogo RJ 0:2
    15.10.2025 Botafogo RJ - Flamengo 0:3
    01.10.2025 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 2:1
    28.09.2025 Fluminense - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    Latest results of Santos
    20.10.2025 Santos - Vitória Salvador 0:1
    15.10.2025 Santos - Corinthians 3:1
    05.10.2025 Ceará - Santos 3:0
    01.10.2025 Santos - Grêmio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 36229574:245075
    2Palmeiras ✔ 36217860:322870
    3Cruzeiro351911552:252768
    4Mirassol361712758:362263
    5Fluminense361771246:38858
    6Botafogo RJ351610950:321858
    7Bahia361691148:44457
    8Sao Paulo361391440:46-648
    9Gremio3612101442:48-646
    10Vasco361361755:53245
    11Bragantino361361740:54-1445
    12Corinthians351291438:42-445
    13Atletico-MG3511121238:40-245
    14Ceara351191532:35-342
    15Vitoria3610121434:48-1442
    16Santos3610111539:50-1141
    17Internacional3610111541:53-1241
    18Fortaleza359101638:53-1537
    19Juventude36972034:65-3134
    20Sport Recife362112328:69-4117

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )