Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (368/424) | 82% (278/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (368/424) | 82% (278/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (35/58) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (102/131) | 65% (75/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 33% (6/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Correa J. ⚽, Jeffinho (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Souza ⚽,
- 38', Duarte A. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 1, Correa J. ⚽, Jeffinho (A),
- 40', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,
- 45+6', Souza 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Duarte A. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 53', Ramos C. 🟨,
- 63', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 2, Barreal A. (Pen),
- 72', Jeffinho ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 72', Diaz L. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 72', Souza ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
- 78', Danilo ↓, Allan ↑,
- 78', Cuiabano ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
- 79', Victor Hugo ↓, Arao W. ↑,
- 85', Barreal A. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 88', Allan 🟨,
- 89', Ramos C. ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
- 90+2', Luan Peres 🟨,
- 90+6', Barboza A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
55.3% | Draw
25.5% | Santos
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Botafogo RJ - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.67) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
4.91 ↓
(5) |
5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Santos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Botafogo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Arthur Cabral
(Inactive)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
David Ricardo
(Yellow Cards)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Neymar
(Thigh Injury)
Rincon T.
(Calf Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Martins
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Santos?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Botafogo RJ?
Santos has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Santos were as follows:
01.06.2025
Santos
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
26.11.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Santos
1:1
23.07.2023
Santos
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
10.11.2022
Botafogo RJ
-
Santos
3:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
