Result
0:1
01/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (253/300) | 87% (482/551) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (253/300) | 87% (482/551) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 54% (26/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (68/92) | 81% (118/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 45+4', Neymar 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Rincon T. ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 57', Alex Telles 🟨,
- 61', Rwan Cruz ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 61', Allan ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 73', Savarino J. ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
- 73', Alex Telles ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 73', Gonzalo Mastriani 🟨,
- 76', Neymar 🟨,
- 82', Rollheiser B. ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 82', Vitinho ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Artur ⚽, Jair (A),
- 89', Ze Rafael ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 89', Barreal A. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 89', Joao Basso ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 90', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
35.8% | Draw
30.9% | Botafogo RJ
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.23) |
3.04 ↓
(3.22) |
2.84 ↓
(3.33) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Recent form of Santos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Botafogo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Schmidt
(Thigh Injury)
Luan Peres
(Yellow Cards)
Soteldo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: David Ricardo
(Thigh Injury)
Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Botafogo RJ?
Santos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Santos?
Botafogo RJ has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
26.11.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Santos
1:1
23.07.2023
Santos
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
10.11.2022
Botafogo RJ
-
Santos
3:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 16:35 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
