Santos vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Santos - Botafogo RJ
Result
0:1
01/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 11
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Rede Globo, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
peruPeruL1 Max
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.55
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
84% (253/300)87% (482/551)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.36
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
84% (253/300)87% (482/551)
Long passes
44% (14/32)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
74% (68/92)81% (118/146)
Crosses
14% (3/21)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.75
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
1316
Tackles
63% (10/16)57% (13/23)
Duels won
5049
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.360.84
Goals prevented
-0.640.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Escobar G. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Neymar 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Rincon T. , Diego Pituca ,
  • 57', Alex Telles 🟨,
  • 61', Rwan Cruz , Nathan Fernandes ,
  • 61', Allan , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 73', Savarino J. , Gonzalo Mastriani ,
  • 73', Alex Telles , Ponte M. ,
  • 73', Gonzalo Mastriani 🟨,
  • 76', Neymar 🟨,
  • 82', Rollheiser B. , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 82', Vitinho , Elias Manoel ,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Artur , Jair (A),
  • 89', Ze Rafael , Deivid Washington ,
  • 89', Barreal A. , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 89', Joao Basso , Joao Schmidt ,
  • 90', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
35.8%
Draw
30.9%
Botafogo RJ
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 31.4% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.
  • Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Santos - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.23)
    3.04
    (3.22)
    2.84
    (3.33)
    5.6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • Recent form of Santos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Botafogo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Hamstring Injury) Joao Schmidt (Thigh Injury) Luan Peres (Yellow Cards) Soteldo Y. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: David Ricardo (Thigh Injury) Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    26.11.2023 Botafogo RJ - Santos 1:1
    23.07.2023 Santos - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    10.11.2022 Botafogo RJ - Santos 3:0
    Latest results of Santos
    28.05.2025 Santos - RB Leipzig 1:3
    25.05.2025 Vitória Salvador - Santos 0:1
    22.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Santos 1:0
    18.05.2025 Corinthians - Santos 1:0
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Ceara1553714:15-118
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet