Result
0:0
16/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (537/602) | 80% (255/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (537/602) | 80% (255/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (30/48) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (162/199) | 67% (42/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (11/37) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Ronald Lopes ↓, Erick ↑,
- 59', Lucas Braga ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 59', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 62', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 62', Allan ↓, Gregore ↑,
- 71', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 71', Montoro A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 83', Artur ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 84', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
- 86', Matheuzinho ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 87', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
- 90+1', Caceres R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Osvaldo 🟨,
- 90+6', Erick 🟨,
- 90+7', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
66.5% | Draw
21.7% | Vitória Salvador
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.57) |
4.34 ↑
(3.81) |
7.95 ↑
(6.13) |
5.5%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 24 - 88.9%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 77.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Botafogo (votes: 4 - 80%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.
- Botafogo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vitória has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Botafogo is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas
(Yellow Cards)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Neris
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Vitória Salvador?
Botafogo RJ has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Botafogo RJ?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
23.11.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Vitória Salvador
1:1
11.07.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
22.05.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Botafogo RJ
1:2
02.05.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Vitória Salvador
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 41:24 | 17 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Gremio | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Vasco | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 30 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 | Internacional | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 17 | Juventude | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vitoria | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 22 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 16:35 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
