Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
21/03/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.010.13
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
40
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
42
Passes
84% (180/214)80% (132/164)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.010.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.920.00
Total shots
84
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
61
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
84
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
97
Passes
84% (180/214)80% (132/164)
Long passes
27% (6/22)42% (10/24)
Passes in final third
64% (35/55)52% (14/27)
Crosses
27% (4/15)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.20
Throw ins
812
Fouls
79
Tackles
50% (2/4)67% (6/9)
Duels won
1923
Clearances
417
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.002.92
Goals prevented
0.00-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Hygor , Everton Morelli (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Everton Morelli ,
  • 40', Everton Morelli 🟨,
  • 43', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
  • 45+4', 3 - 0, Vilar , Patrick Brey (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vitinho , Welliton ,
  • 46', Pochettino T. , Lucca Prior ,
  • 46', Rodrigo , Lucas Crispim ,
  • 52', 4 - 0, Everton Morelli , Rafael Gava (A),
  • 61', Gazal 🟨,
  • 63', Everton Morelli , Matheus Sales ,
  • 64', Miritello J. B. , Paulo Baya ,
  • 71', Patrick Brey , Felipe Vieira ,
  • 71', Rafael Gava , Thiago Moraes ,
  • 73', Lucas Crispim 🟨,
  • 80', Lucas Sasha 🟨,
  • 81', Lucas Sasha , Ryan ,
  • 88', Mailton 🟨,
  • 89', Mailton 🟥,
  • 90+1', Kelvin , Jefferson Nem ,
  • 90+2', Maciel L. , Marquinho ,
  • 90+5', Felipe Vieira 🟨,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
26.1%
Draw
30.8%
Fortaleza
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 30.6% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 30.7% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Botafogo SP - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3)
    3.03
    (3)
    2.16
    (2.37)
    7.3%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fortaleza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Henrique Teles (Injury) Rafael Gava (Injury) Wallace (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    17.03.2026 Nova Iguaçu - Fortaleza 0:1
    11.03.2026 Manauara - Fortaleza 0:1
    08.03.2026 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:2
    01.03.2026 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:1
    24.02.2026 Fortaleza - Maguary 4:3
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortaleza742110:8214
    2Vila Nova FC633011:8312
    3Criciuma73229:7211
    4Sao Bernardo63128:5310
    5Juventude63125:4110
    6Nautico73135:7-210
    7Ceara62408:5310
    8Sport Recife62406:4210
    9Botafogo SP723210:739
    10Operario-PR62314:319
    11Avai62227:618
    12Novorizontino62227:618
    13Athletic Club62228:808
    14Cuiaba71514:408
    15Atletico GO62137:8-17
    16Ponte Preta62135:6-17
    17Goias72147:12-57
    18Londrina61237:8-15
    19CRB60246:11-52
    20America MG60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )