Result
0:2
07/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 7
- Referee: Nunes G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/401) | 72% (196/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/401) | 72% (196/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 24% (12/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (54/84) | 58% (52/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Carlao 🟨,
- 22', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
- 29', Kelvin 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Hygor ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Guilherme Parede ↓, Hebert ↑,
- 46', Raphael ↓, Cicinho ↑,
- 51', Gabriel Inocencio 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Kelvin ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
- 60', Isaque 🟨,
- 61', Isaque ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
- 61', Lucca ↓, Kewen ↑,
- 73', Kelvin ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
- 73', Rafael Gava ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
- 73', Hygor ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 77', Diego Torres 🟨,
- 78', Marcio Maranhao 🟨,
- 83', Willian Farias ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Inocencio ↓, Jonathan ↑,
- 88', Matheus Sales 🟨,
- 90+1', Cicinho 🟨,
- 90+2', Jonathan 🟨,
- 90+2', Everton Morelli ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
Chances of winning
Guarani
43.4% | Draw
31% | Botafogo SP
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Guarani - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.99) |
3 ↓
(3.07) |
3.62 ↓
(3.94) |
7.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 2.
- Guarani is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Botafogo SP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guarani will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Botafogo SP?
Guarani has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Guarani?
Botafogo SP has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Botafogo SP were as follows:
15.01.2025
Guarani
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
09.10.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Guarani
3:2
11.05.2024
Guarani
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
01.03.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Guarani
1:1
27.10.2023
Guarani
-
Botafogo SP
0:1
Latest results of Guarani
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | |
Final
