Basquete Cearense vs Botafogo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
86:82
16/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: de Jesus D. (Pur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5859
Field goals made
3131
Field goals %
53.45%52.54%
2-point field goals attempts
4039
2-point field goals made
2423
2-point field goals %
60%58.97%
3-point field goals attempts
1820
3-point field goals made
78
3-point field goals %
38.89%40%
Free throws attempts
2827
Free throws made
1714
Free throws %
60.7%51.9%
Offensive rebounds
714
Defensive rebounds
1926
Total rebounds
2640
Assists
1911
Blocks
53
Turnovers
1624
Steals
148
Personal fouls
2225

Chances of winning


Basquete Cearense
63.3%
Botafogo
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basquete Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Botafogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basquete Cearense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Basquete Cearense - Botafogo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.43)

    2.49
    (2.44)
    7.8%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Basquete Cearense - Botafogo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -4.5, OT - Botafogo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Botafogo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Botafogo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Botafogo (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5, OT - Botafogo (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Botafogo (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5, OT - Botafogo (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 - Botafogo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Botafogo (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Botafogo (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Botafogo (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Botafogo (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Botafogo will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 14 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 3.
    • Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
    • Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cearense has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.
    • Cearense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 888:892. (average 74:74.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cearense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 426:414. (average 71:69).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basquete Cearense - Botafogo were as follows:
    20.10.2025 Botafogo - Basquete Cearense 80:84
    20.01.2025 Botafogo - Basquete Cearense 74:83
    27.10.2024 Basquete Cearense - Botafogo 52:77
    14.02.2024 Basquete Cearense - Botafogo 84:75
    18.12.2023 Botafogo - Basquete Cearense 90:86
    Latest results of Basquete Cearense
    Latest results of Botafogo
    13.01.2026 Unifacisa - Botafogo 77:68
    29.12.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo 104:71
    27.12.2025 Pinheiros - Botafogo 77:64
    18.12.2025 Minas - Botafogo 95:88
    16.12.2025 Cruzeiro - Botafogo 89:65
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Franca (1)Botafogo (16)3 : 0
    2Sao Jose (8)Mogi (9)0 : 3
    3Brasilia (4)Caxias do Sul (13)2 : 1
    4Flamengo (5)Uniao Corinthians (12)2 : 1
    5Pinheiros (2)Rio Claro (15)3 : 0
    6Paulistano (7)Bauru (10)2 : 1
    7Minas (3)Cruzeiro (14)2 : 1
    8Corinthians Paulista (6)Unifacisa (11)2 : 1