Maribor vs Botev Plovdiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/07/2024 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Romanov V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, SportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
montenegroMontenegroSportKlub
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, SportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
2212
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
123
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
112
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
515
Yellow Cards
04
Attacks
149124
Dangerous Attacks
9863

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Repas J. , Ilicic J. (A),
  • 32', Popov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Iliev N. , Nwachukwu C. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Nwachukwu C. , Popov I. (A),
  • 56', Barisic M. , Bozic M. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Ujah A. , Nwachukwu C. (A),
  • 63', Bourles R. , Sikosek G. ,
  • 63', Repas Z. , Beugre E. ,
  • 70', Akere S. , Ukaki E. ,
  • 72', Ukaki E. 🟨,
  • 74', Jakupovic A. , Grlic N. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Beugre E. , Bozic M. (A),
  • 83', Popov I. , Diabate S. ,
  • 87', Minkov N. 🟨,
  • 87', Ujah A. , Sekulic M. ,
  • 88', Eto'o J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maribor
61.9%
Draw
21.3%
Botev Plovdiv
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 23.9% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 23.1% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maribor's performance.
  • Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maribor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Maribor - Botev Plovdiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.72)
    4.36
    (3.94)
    5.57
    (4.37)
    6.9%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Maribor - Botev Plovdiv?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maribor: 61.9%89.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Botev Plovdiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Maribor have a series of home games.
    • In this match Maribor is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Maribor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maribor - Botev Plovdiv were as follows:
    11.07.2024 Botev Plovdiv - Maribor 2:1
    Latest results of Maribor
    Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2