Maribor vs Botev Plovdiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Maribor - Botev Plovdiv
Result
2:2
18/07/2024 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Romanov V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, SportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
montenegroMontenegroSportKlub
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, SportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
2212
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
123
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
112
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
515
Yellow Cards
04
Attacks
149124
Dangerous Attacks
9863

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Repas J. , Ilicic J. (A),
  • 32', Popov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Iliev N. , Nwachukwu C. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Nwachukwu C. , Popov I. (A),
  • 56', Barisic M. , Bozic M. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Ujah A. , Nwachukwu C. (A),
  • 63', Bourles R. , Sikosek G. ,
  • 63', Repas Z. , Beugre E. ,
  • 70', Akere S. , Ukaki E. ,
  • 72', Ukaki E. 🟨,
  • 74', Jakupovic A. , Grlic N. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Beugre E. , Bozic M. (A),
  • 83', Popov I. , Diabate S. ,
  • 87', Minkov N. 🟨,
  • 87', Ujah A. , Sekulic M. ,
  • 88', Eto'o J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maribor
61.9%
Draw
21.3%
Botev Plovdiv
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 23.9% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 23.1% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maribor's performance.
  • Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maribor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Maribor - Botev Plovdiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.72)
    4.36
    (3.94)
    5.57
    (4.37)
    6.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Maribor - Botev Plovdiv?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 3 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maribor: 61.9%89.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Botev Plovdiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Maribor have a series of home games.
    • In this match Maribor is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Maribor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maribor - Botev Plovdiv were as follows:
    11.07.2024 Botev Plovdiv - Maribor 2:1
    Latest results of Maribor
    Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

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