Result
1:1
20/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Division - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bakaridjan
31.7% | Draw
31.7% | Bougouba
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Bakaridjan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Bakaridjan - Bougouba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(2.9) |
2.86 ↓
(2.91) |
2.47 ↓
(2.51) |
10.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8).
- Bakaridjan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bougouba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bougouba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Bakaridjan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bakaridjan won against Bougouba?
Bakaridjan has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bougouba won against Bakaridjan?
Bougouba has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bakaridjan - Bougouba were as follows:
18.02.2025
Bougouba
-
Bakaridjan
3:1
20.04.2024
Bakaridjan
-
Bougouba
2:0
10.12.2023
Bougouba
-
Bakaridjan
0:0
Latest results of Bakaridjan
Latest results of Bougouba
Malian Première Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Djoliba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Bamako | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 32 |
| 3 | Binga | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | Diarra | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 18:7 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | USFAS Bamako | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | Korofina | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Bougouba | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Stade Malien | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Bakaridjan | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 17 |
| 10 | Derby Academie | 16 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Foot Elite | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:24 | -12 | 15 |
| 12 | Onze Createurs | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10:16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | US Bougouni | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 6:22 | -16 | 12 |
| 14 | Mali Coura | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
