Result
1:4
25/12/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Farhat H. ⚽, Haidar M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', 0 - 2, Mpacko Etame J. ⚽, Ezzeddine H. (A),
- 79', 0 - 3, Al Haj A. ⚽, Zbib M. (A),
- 80', 1 - 3, Khriess H. ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Zbib M. ⚽, Al Haj A. (A),
Chances of winning
Bourj
13.5% | Draw
21.9% | Al-Ahed
64.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bourj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Al-Ahed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahed's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Bourj - Al-Ahed Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.69 ↑
(5.6) |
4.14 ↑
(3.65) |
1.4 ↓
(1.56) |
10.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bourj - Al-Ahed?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahed (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Al-Ahed (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahed (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bourj won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Al-Ahed is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bourj won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bourj won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bourj won against Al-Ahed?
Bourj has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahed won against Bourj?
Al-Ahed has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bourj - Al-Ahed were as follows:
21.09.2024
Bourj
-
Al-Ahed
1:3
26.05.2024
Al-Ahed
-
Bourj
2:3
05.04.2024
Bourj
-
Al-Ahed
0:1
07.02.2024
Al-Ahed
-
Bourj
3:0
03.12.2023
Al-Ahed
-
Bourj
3:0
Latest results of Al-Ahed
Lebanese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ansar | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37:8 | 29 | 41 |
| 2 | Jwayya | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 25:6 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Nejmeh SC | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28:8 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Ahed | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Safa | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:10 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Al Sahel | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Hikma | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Al-Mabarrah | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 17 |
| 10 | Tadamon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 | Racing | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4:50 | -46 | 1 |
| 12 | Bourj FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League
Relegation
