Result
3:3
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1 |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 7 |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 3 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
United-kingdom | Palace TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+ Action, K+, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.25 | 2.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
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76% (297/390) | 77% (271/354) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
4.25 | 2.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.35 | 2.81 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
40 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 8 |
Passes |
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76% (297/390) | 77% (271/354) |
Long passes |
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51% (35/69) | 38% (20/52) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (72/129) | 61% (68/112) |
Crosses |
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32% (6/19) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.07 | 1.03 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (14/23) | 39% (7/18) |
Duels won |
---|
74 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.81 | 3.35 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.19 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', Semenyo A. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
- 38', 0 - 2, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
- 40', Adams T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', Senesi M. 🟨,
- 62', Pino Y. 🟨,
- 64', Pino Y. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Mateta J. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
- 67', Scott A. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Mateta J. ⚽,
- 75', Jimenez A. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
- 75', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
- 76', Kluivert J. ↓, Doak B. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Christie R. ⚽, Tavernier M. (A),
- 90', Christie R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tavernier M. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Mateta J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Crystal Palace 28.6% | Draw 30% | Bournemouth 41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crystal Palace - Bournemouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.88 ↑ (2.19) |
4.34 ↑ (3.45) |
2.86 ↓ (3.35) |
-21.5% (4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Bournemouth?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 37.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 22.8% – 51.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Crystal Palace might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C.
(Knee Injury)
Kporha C.
(Back Injury)
Riad C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bournemouth: Smith A.
(Thigh Injury)
Soler J.
(International duty)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Bournemouth?
Crystal Palace has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Crystal Palace?
Bournemouth has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Bournemouth were as follows:
19.04.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Bournemouth
0:0
26.12.2024
Bournemouth
-
Crystal Palace
0:0
02.04.2024
Bournemouth
-
Crystal Palace
1:0
06.12.2023
Crystal Palace
-
Bournemouth
0:2
13.05.2023
Crystal Palace
-
Bournemouth
2:0
Latest results of Crystal Palace
Latest results of Bournemouth
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 12 | 19 |
2 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
3 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
4 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Tottenham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
7 | Sunderland | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
9 | Manchester Utd | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
10 | Brighton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Everton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Brentford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Newcastle | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
18 | Nottingham | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
19 | West Ham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolves | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship