Result
3:3
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 7 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 3 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Palace TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+ Action, K+, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.25 | 2.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (297/390) | 77% (271/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.25 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (297/390) | 77% (271/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (72/129) | 61% (68/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 39% (7/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 3.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', Semenyo A. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
- 38', 0 - 2, Kroupi E. J. ⚽,
- 40', Adams T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', Senesi M. 🟨,
- 62', Pino Y. 🟨,
- 64', Pino Y. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Mateta J. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
- 67', Scott A. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Mateta J. ⚽,
- 75', Jimenez A. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
- 75', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
- 76', Kluivert J. ↓, Doak B. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Christie R. ⚽, Tavernier M. (A),
- 90', Christie R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tavernier M. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Mateta J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Crystal Palace
28.6% | Draw
30% | Bournemouth
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crystal Palace - Bournemouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.88 ↑
(2.19) |
4.34 ↑
(3.45) |
2.86 ↓
(3.35) |
-21.5%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Bournemouth?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 37.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 22.8% – 51.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Crystal Palace might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C.
(Knee Injury)
Kporha C.
(Back Injury)
Riad C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bournemouth: Smith A.
(Thigh Injury)
Soler J.
(International duty)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Bournemouth?
Crystal Palace has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Crystal Palace?
Bournemouth has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Bournemouth were as follows:
19.04.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Bournemouth
0:0
26.12.2024
Bournemouth
-
Crystal Palace
0:0
02.04.2024
Bournemouth
-
Crystal Palace
1:0
06.12.2023
Crystal Palace
-
Bournemouth
0:2
13.05.2023
Crystal Palace
-
Bournemouth
2:0
Latest results of Crystal Palace
Latest results of Bournemouth
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57:25 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48:39 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Everton | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Brighton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:48 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26:41 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:58 | -26 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolves | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22:52 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
