Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota State Mavericks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
21/02/2026 at 18:07 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 2)

Chances of winning


Bowling Green Falcons
40.1%
Draw
22.3%
Minnesota State Mavericks
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 20.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 21.5% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Minnesota State Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota State Mavericks than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.2)
    4.05
    (4.3)
    2.41
    (2.36)
    10.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • Bowling Green has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Minnesota State is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Minnesota State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bowling Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.8:4.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bowling Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.8:4.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 4:5
    20.01.2024 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 1:4
    19.01.2024 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 4:3
    10.12.2022 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 2:6
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/8-finals
    1Boston College EaglesBentley Falcons3 : 1
    2Providence FriarsDenver Pioneers1 : 5
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks2 : 1
    4Minnesota Golden GophersMassachusetts Minutemen4 : 5
    5Maine Black BearsPenn State Nittany Lions1 : 5
    6Connecticut HuskiesQuinnipiac Bobcats4 : 1
    7Michigan State SpartansCornell Big Red3 : 4
    8Boston University TerriersOhio State Buckeyes8 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Boston College EaglesDenver Pioneers1 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosMassachusetts Minutemen2 : 1
    3Penn State Nittany LionsConnecticut Huskies3 : 2
    4Cornell Big RedBoston University Terriers2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Denver PioneersWestern Michigan Broncos2 : 3
    2Penn State Nittany LionsBoston University Terriers1 : 3

    Final
    1Western Michigan BroncosBoston University Terriers6 : 2