Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota State Mavericks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
21/02/2026 at 18:07 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 2)

Chances of winning


Bowling Green Falcons
40.1%
Draw
22.3%
Minnesota State Mavericks
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 20.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 21.5% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bowling Green Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Minnesota State Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowling Green Falcons than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota State Mavericks than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.2)
    4.05
    (4.3)
    2.41
    (2.36)
    10.7%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • Bowling Green has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Minnesota State is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Minnesota State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bowling Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.8:4.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bowling Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 2.8:4.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 4:5
    20.01.2024 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 1:4
    19.01.2024 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 4:3
    10.12.2022 Bowling Green Falcons - Minnesota State Mavericks 2:6
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2