Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 3
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.99 | 0.43 |
Ball Possession |
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39% | 61% |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 9 |
Passes |
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65% (197/303) | 80% (381/478) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.99 | 0.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.91 | 0.31 |
Total shots |
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13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 12 |
Passes |
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65% (197/303) | 80% (381/478) |
Long passes |
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25% (18/71) | 48% (38/79) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (75/134) | 70% (103/148) |
Crosses |
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22% (4/18) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.02 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 22 |
Fouls |
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12 | 15 |
Tackles |
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75% (12/16) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
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55 | 50 |
Clearances |
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22 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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0.31 | 2.91 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.69 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Alli M. 🟨,
- 24', Alli M. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 27', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 30', Pointon B. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Humphrys S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lonwijk N. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Pointon B. ⚽, Neufville J. (A),
- 52', Baptiste S. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 67', Dabo L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 67', Saville G. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
- 69', Humphrys S. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
- 78', Pointon B. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
- 78', Leigh T. ↓, Metcalfe J. ↑,
- 82', Power M. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Bramall C. (A),
- 89', Sarcevic A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bradford City 28.4% | Draw 28.5% | Luton Town 43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Bradford City - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.32 ↓ (3.44) |
3.28 ↓ (3.32) |
2.17 ↑ (2.12) |
6.7% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bradford City - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Bradford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bradford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N.
(Injury)
Cook A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bradford City won against Luton Town?
Bradford City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bradford City?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bradford City - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Bradford City
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
2 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Bradford City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
4 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Doncaster | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 13 |
6 | Huddersfield | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
8 | Stockport County | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Lincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
11 | Exeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Wigan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Bolton | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
15 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
18 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
19 | Rotherham | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
20 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
21 | Plymouth | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 3 |
22 | Wycombe | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 2 |
23 | Port Vale | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
24 | Peterborough | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two