Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 3
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (197/303) | 80% (381/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (197/303) | 80% (381/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (18/71) | 48% (38/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (75/134) | 70% (103/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Alli M. 🟨,
- 24', Alli M. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 27', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 30', Pointon B. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Humphrys S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lonwijk N. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Pointon B. ⚽, Neufville J. (A),
- 52', Baptiste S. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 67', Dabo L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 67', Saville G. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
- 69', Humphrys S. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
- 78', Pointon B. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
- 78', Leigh T. ↓, Metcalfe J. ↑,
- 82', Power M. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Bramall C. (A),
- 89', Sarcevic A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bradford City
28.4% | Draw
28.5% | Luton Town
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Bradford City - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↓
(3.44) |
3.28 ↓
(3.32) |
2.17 ↑
(2.12) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bradford City - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Bradford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bradford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N.
(Injury)
Cook A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bradford City won against Luton Town?
Bradford City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bradford City?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bradford City - Luton Town were as follows:
Latest results of Bradford City
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
