Bradford City vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bradford City - Luton Town
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.43
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
65% (197/303)80% (381/478)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.990.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.910.31
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
65% (197/303)80% (381/478)
Long passes
25% (18/71)48% (38/79)
Passes in final third
56% (75/134)70% (103/148)
Crosses
22% (4/18)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.97
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1215
Tackles
75% (12/16)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.312.91
Goals prevented
-0.690.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 24', Alli M. , Kodua G. ,
  • 27', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
  • 30', Pointon B. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Humphrys S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lonwijk N. , Bramall C. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Pointon B. , Neufville J. (A),
  • 52', Baptiste S. , Nordas L. ,
  • 67', Dabo L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 67', Saville G. , Walsh L. ,
  • 69', Humphrys S. , Swan W. ,
  • 78', Pointon B. , Wright T. ,
  • 78', Leigh T. , Metcalfe J. ,
  • 82', Power M. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kodua G. , Bramall C. (A),
  • 89', Sarcevic A. , Kelly C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bradford City
28.4%
Draw
28.5%
Luton Town
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 28.3% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 28% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Bradford City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (3.44)
    3.28
    (3.32)
    2.17
    (2.12)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bradford City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bradford is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Luton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bradford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N. (Injury) Cook A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bradford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Bradford City
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two