Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 31
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/333) | 72% (234/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/333) | 72% (234/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (20/64) | 51% (44/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (83/134) | 63% (92/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Tilt C. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Richards J. ⚽, Kodua G. (A),
- 43', Neufville J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 0, Morris S. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
- 61', Wright T. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
- 61', Mullin P. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
- 61', Jackson K. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
- 67', Palmer K. 🟨,
- 67', Richards J. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 68', Morris S. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
- 74', Pennington M. ↓, Pointon B. ↑,
- 75', Keeley J. 🟨,
- 77', Kodua G. ↓, Wells N. ↑,
- 83', Clark J. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
- 83', Cole D. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 85', Neufville J. ↓, Evans L. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Humphrys S. ⚽, Sarcevic A. (A),
Chances of winning
Luton Town
49.6% | Draw
27.3% | Bradford City
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Luton Town - Bradford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.02) |
3.43 ↑
(3.22) |
4.03 ↑
(3.65) |
6.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bradford City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Bradford (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Bradford (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Luton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bradford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Luton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bradford: Powell N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bradford: Swan W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bradford City?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bradford City won against Luton Town?
Bradford City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bradford City were as follows:
16.08.2025
Bradford City
-
Luton Town
2:1
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Bradford City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
