Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 9 |
Germany | RTL+ |
Greece | ANT 1+ |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, RTS 1 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 2 |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 8 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/518) | 82% (446/542) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/518) | 82% (446/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 26% (10/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (144/182) | 80% (74/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Navarro F. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 37', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
- 45+2', Ivanic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Radonjic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
- 60', Kostov V. ↓, Elsnik T. ↑,
- 66', Zalazar R. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
- 66', Navarro F. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Dorgeles M. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 78', Martinez G. ↓, da Rocha Y. ↑,
- 78', Moutinho J. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 81', Ivanic M. ↓, Zaric L. ↑,
- 81', Krunic R. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
- 90+3', Horta R. ↓, Aragao J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Braga 55.9% | Draw 24% | Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (1.82) |
4.28 ↑ (3.73) |
5.25 ↑ (4.18) |
-1.3% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Crvena Zvezda (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(51 of 60 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.96% – 94.04%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Braga could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Braga: Gabriel Moscardo
(Inactive)
Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Oliveira P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S.
(Inactive)
Katai A.
(Knee Injury)
Sandoval K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Krunic R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Braga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Braga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Braga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Braga?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal