Braga vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 9
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.38
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
84% (437/518)82% (446/542)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.25
Total shots
119
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
513
Passes
84% (437/518)82% (446/542)
Long passes
33% (13/40)26% (10/39)
Passes in final third
79% (144/182)80% (74/93)
Crosses
15% (4/26)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.46
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
135
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.252.05
Goals prevented
0.250.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Navarro F. , Horta R. (A),
  • 37', Arnautovic M. , Bruno Duarte ,
  • 45+2', Ivanic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Radonjic N. , Milson ,
  • 60', Kostov V. , Elsnik T. ,
  • 66', Zalazar R. , Dorgeles M. ,
  • 66', Navarro F. , Victor P. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Dorgeles M. , Horta R. (A),
  • 78', Martinez G. , da Rocha Y. ,
  • 78', Moutinho J. , Rodrigues D. ,
  • 81', Ivanic M. , Zaric L. ,
  • 81', Krunic R. , Bajo M. ,
  • 90+3', Horta R. , Aragao J. ,

Chances of winning


Braga
55.9%
Draw
24%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 25.4% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 27.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.82)
    4.28
    (3.73)
    5.25
    (4.18)
    -1.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Users Predictions: Braga will win (51 of 60 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.96%94.04%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Braga could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Braga: Gabriel Moscardo (Inactive) Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Oliveira P. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S. (Inactive) Katai A. (Knee Injury) Sandoval K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Krunic R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Braga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Braga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Braga
    18.10.2025 Bragança - Braga 0:1
    05.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1
    02.10.2025 Celtic - Braga 0:2
    28.09.2025 Braga - Nacional 0:1
    24.09.2025 Braga - Feyenoord 1:0
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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