Braga vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 9
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 13
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.38
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
84% (437/518)82% (446/542)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.25
Total shots
119
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
513
Passes
84% (437/518)82% (446/542)
Long passes
33% (13/40)26% (10/39)
Passes in final third
79% (144/182)80% (74/93)
Crosses
15% (4/26)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.740.46
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
135
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.252.05
Goals prevented
0.250.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Navarro F. , Horta R. (A),
  • 37', Arnautovic M. , Bruno Duarte ,
  • 45+2', Ivanic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Radonjic N. , Milson ,
  • 60', Kostov V. , Elsnik T. ,
  • 66', Zalazar R. , Dorgeles M. ,
  • 66', Navarro F. , Victor P. ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Dorgeles M. , Horta R. (A),
  • 78', Martinez G. , da Rocha Y. ,
  • 78', Moutinho J. , Rodrigues D. ,
  • 81', Ivanic M. , Zaric L. ,
  • 81', Krunic R. , Bajo M. ,
  • 90+3', Horta R. , Aragao J. ,

Chances of winning


Braga
55.9%
Draw
24%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 25.4% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 27.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.82)
    4.28
    (3.73)
    5.25
    (4.18)
    -1.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Braga - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Crvena Zvezda (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Braga will win (51 of 60 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.96%94.04%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Braga could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Braga: Gabriel Moscardo (Inactive) Noro J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Oliveira P. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S. (Inactive) Katai A. (Knee Injury) Sandoval K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Krunic R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Braga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Braga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Braga
    18.10.2025 Bragança - Braga 0:1
    05.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1
    02.10.2025 Celtic - Braga 0:2
    28.09.2025 Braga - Nacional 0:1
    24.09.2025 Braga - Feyenoord 1:0
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2