Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 11
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/489) | 86% (369/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/489) | 86% (369/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (14/53) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (98/132) | 72% (77/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 43% (10/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Zalazar R. (Pen),
- 20', Navarro F. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lelo L. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
- 49', Arrey-Mbi B. 🟨,
- 66', Dorgeles M. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 67', Moutinho J. ↓, Grillitsch F. ↑,
- 67', Stjepanovic M. ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
- 67', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
- 68', Pinto D. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 0, Horta R. ⚽,
- 77', Bernardo ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 77', Landerson ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Maracas ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
- 83', Zalazar R. 🟨,
- 83', Zalazar R. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 86', Batista G. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
- 88', Alanzinho 🟨,
- 88', Hornicek L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga
68% | Draw
20.1% | Moreirense
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Braga - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4
(1.4) |
4.7 ↓
(4.71) |
8.07 ↑
(7.64) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Braga - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Braga has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Marcelo
(Yellow Cards)
Teguia C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Kiko Bondoso
(Inactive)
Ofori L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Moreirense?
Braga has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Braga?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Moreirense were as follows:
03.02.2025
Moreirense
-
Braga
1:2
25.08.2024
Braga
-
Moreirense
3:1
10.07.2024
Braga
-
Moreirense
0:2
04.02.2024
Braga
-
Moreirense
1:0
09.09.2023
Moreirense
-
Braga
2:3
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 44:7 | 37 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 59:12 | 47 | 58 |
| 3 | Benfica | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 49:13 | 36 | 55 |
| 4 | Braga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:22 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | Estoril | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:39 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | Alverca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Arouca | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:49 | -18 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25:43 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 18:29 | -11 | 18 |
| 17 | Tondela | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17:36 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | AFS | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
