Result
0:1
04/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | TVI |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (339/410) | 88% (559/638) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 3.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (339/410) | 88% (559/638) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (17/50) | 33% (16/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (64/83) | 72% (102/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Navarro F. ⚽,
- 33', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Rodri ↓, Stjepanovic M. ↑,
- 68', Batista G. ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
- 68', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
- 72', Landerson ↓, Fabiano ↑,
- 76', Navarro F. 🟨,
- 76', Navarro F. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 76', Martinez G. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
- 85', Victor P. 🟨,
- 86', Victor P. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 90+3', Horta R. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
13.6% | Draw
22.8% | Braga
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1%)
Moreirense - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.83 ↑
(6.02) |
4.17 ↑
(3.99) |
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
5.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Braga?
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
- Moreirense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Braga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Braga is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Martinez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Pinto D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
Yan Maranhao
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Barisic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Bellaarouch A.
(Inactive)
Vitor Carvalho
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Alanzinho
(Injury)
Michel
(Muscle Injury)
Santos L.
(Injury)
Teguia C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Braga?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Moreirense?
Braga has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Braga were as follows:
09.11.2025
Braga
-
Moreirense
2:1
03.02.2025
Moreirense
-
Braga
1:2
25.08.2024
Braga
-
Moreirense
3:1
10.07.2024
Braga
-
Moreirense
0:2
04.02.2024
Braga
-
Moreirense
1:0
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
