Brandon Nakashima vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 17:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

.

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
13	3
Double Faults
0	1
1st serve percentage
78%	72%
1st serve points won
87% (34/39)	72% (26/36)
2nd serve points won
64% (7/11)	50% (7/14)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)	71% (5/7)
1st return points won
28% (10/36)	13% (5/39)
2nd return points won
50% (7/14)	36% (4/11)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)	0% (0/0)
Winners
24	11
Unforced errors
11	13
Net points won
82% (9/11)	50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
80% (40/50)	66% (33/50)
Return Points Won
34% (17/50)	20% (10/50)
Total Points Won
57% (57/100)	43% (43/100)
Last 10 balls
4	6
Match points saved
0	2
Service games won
100% (10/10)	78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)	0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)	37% (7/19)

Chances of winning

Brandon Nakashima
80.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.13)		4.82 ↓ (5.9)	4.7% (5.4%)

What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 30. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nakashima is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

Brandon Nakashima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Brandon Nakashima?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:

23.04.2024 Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0

Latest results of Brandon Nakashima

27.02.2026 Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima 2:1 ✺

26.02.2026 Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima 1:2 ✺

25.02.2026 Brandon Nakashima - Patrick Kypson 2:0 ✺

23.02.2026 Brandon Nakashima - Elias Ymer 2:0 ✺

18.02.2026 Brandon Nakashima - Chak Lam Coleman Wong 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli

04.03.2026 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm 2:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann 0:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga 0:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez 0:2 ✺

12.02.2026 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Atmane T.	Dimitrov G.	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo J. M.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
5	Vacherot V. (24)	Bye
6	Borges N.	Nava E.	2 : 0
7	Shevchenko A.	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ruud C. (13)
9	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Kopriva V. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Maestrelli F. (Q)	Hijikata R. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Darderi L. (20)
13	Norrie C. (27)	Bye
14	Arnaldi M.	McDonald M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Korda S.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (6)
17	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
19	Hurkacz H.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Moutet C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
22	Royer V.	Bonzi B. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Bautista-Agut R.	1 : 2
24	Bye	Draper J. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Bye
26	Tabilo A.	Jodar R. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Baez S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (22)
29	Humbert U. (32)	Bye
30	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	Michelsen A.	0 : 2
31	Fearnley J.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
33	Musetti L. (5)	Bye
34	Fucsovics M.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Prizmic D. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	2 : 1
36	Bye	Fils A. (30)
37	Rublev A. (17)	Bye
38	Bellucci M.	Diallo G.	0 : 2
39	Monfils G. (WC)	Galarneau A. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (15)	Bye
42	Altmaier D. (RET.)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 1
43	Brooksby J.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Damm M. (WC)	2 : 0
47	Berrettini M.	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
50	Opelka R.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
51	Halys Q.	Walton A.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tien L. (25)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
54	Svajda Z. (WC)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
55	Navone M.	Giron M.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Khachanov K. (16)	Bye
58	Fonseca J.	Collignon R.	2 : 0
59	Bergs Z.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Paul T. (23)
61	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Bye
62	Tsitsipas S.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
63	Svrcina D. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo J. M.	Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
3	Vacherot V. (24)	Borges N.	2 : 0
4	Shevchenko A.	Ruud C. (13)	0 : 2
5	Bublik A. (10)	Kopriva V.	2 : 1
6	Hijikata R.	Darderi L. (20)	2 : 1
7	Norrie C. (27)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
8	Korda S.	De Minaur A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 1
10	Kovacevic A.	Moutet C. (31)	2 : 0
11	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	Baez S.	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
15	Humbert U. (32)	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Fearnley J.	Fritz T. (7)	1 : 2
17	Musetti L. (5)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
18	Prizmic D. (RET.)	Fils A. (30)	0 : 1
19	Rublev A. (17)	Diallo G.	1 : 2
20	Monfils G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (15)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Brooksby J.	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Nakashima B. (28)	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
24	Berrettini M.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Shelton B. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
26	Walton A.	Tien L. (25)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
28	Giron M.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Khachanov K. (16)	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
30	Bergs Z.	Paul T. (23)	0 : 2
31	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
32	Svrcina D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 1
2	Vacherot V. (24)	Ruud C. (13)	1 : 2
3	Bublik A. (10)	Hijikata R.	1 : 2
4	Norrie C. (27)	De Minaur A. (6)	2 : 0
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
6	Cerundolo F. (19)	Draper J. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (11)	Baez S.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Fucsovics M.	Fils A. (30)	0 : 2
10	Diallo G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
11	Cobolli F. (15)	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
12	Nakashima B. (28)	Zverev A. (4)	1 : 2
13	Shelton B. (8)	Tien L. (25)	1 : 2
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (23)	2 : 0
16	Shapovalov D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Ruud C. (13)	2 : 0
2	Hijikata R.	Norrie C. (27)	0 : 2
3	Djokovic N. (3)	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (11)	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
5	Fils A. (30)	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
7	Tien L. (25)	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	2 : 1
8	Fonseca J.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Norrie C. (27)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (14)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
3	Fils A. (30)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
4	Tien L. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Medvedev D. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2