Brandon Nakashima vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Houston Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe
Result
0:2
05/04/2025 at 21:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
66%60%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (33/54)69% (25/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (9/28)54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)20% (1/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (12/36)41% (22/54)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (11/24)68% (19/28)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)50% (5/10)
Winners
1826
Unforced Errors
2717
Net Points Won
36% (5/14)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
52% (42/81)63% (38/60)
Return Points Won
37% (22/60)48% (39/81)
Total Points Won
45% (64/141)55% (77/141)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
45.6%
Francis Tiafoe
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.05)

    1.74
    (1.65)
    5.5%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 3 - 60%). Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1.
    • Nakashima is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Tiafoe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
    26.09.2024 Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima 0:2
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Bye
    2Garin C. (WC)Ritschard A.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    4Quinn E. (WC)Thompson J. (6)2 : 1
    5Tabilo A. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T.Brooksby J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Holt B.Denolly C. (Q)0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    9Nishikori K. (8)Krueger M. (Q)2 : 0
    10Hijikata R.Eubanks C.1 : 2
    11Galan D. E.McDonald M.1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (5)Tien L.2 : 0
    14Hanfmann Y.Mannarino A. (LL)0 : 2
    15Mmoh M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Garin C.2 : 1
    2Smith C.Quinn E.2 : 0
    3Tabilo A. (3)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    5Nishikori K. (RET.) (8)Eubanks C.0 : 1
    6McDonald M.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (5)Mannarino A.2 : 1
    8Walton A.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    3Eubanks C.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (5)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paul T. (1)Brooksby J.1 : 2
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0