Brandon Nakashima vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP London Brandon Nakashima - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Result
2:1
17/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1323
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
68%65%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (57/73)80% (66/83)
2nd Serve Points Won
77% (27/35)55% (24/44)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
20% (17/83)23% (17/73)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (20/44)23% (8/35)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)25% (1/4)
Winners
3652
Unforced Errors
2042
Net Points Won
83% (20/24)67% (14/21)
Service Points Won
78% (84/108)71% (90/127)
Return Points Won
29% (37/127)22% (24/108)
Total Points Won
51% (121/235)49% (114/235)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
94% (16/17)88% (15/17)
Return Games Won
12% (2/17)6% (1/17)
Total Games Won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
61.4%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-18.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brandon Nakashima - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (2.18)

    2.43
    (1.69)
    5%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 1 - 50%). Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 31. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Walton A. (LL)2 : 0
    2Thompson J. (RET.)Munar J.0 : 1
    3Opelka R. (PR)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    4Rinderknech A. (LL)Shelton B. (6)2 : 0
    5Rune H. (4)O'Connell C. (LL)2 : 0
    6McDonald M.Monfils G.2 : 0
    7Bautista-Agut R.Borges N.2 : 1
    8Norrie C. (WC)Mensik J. (8)1 : 2
    9De Minaur A. (5)Lehecka J.0 : 2
    10Diallo G.Harris B. (WC)2 : 1
    11Fearnley J.Bolt A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Moutet C. (Q)Fritz T. (3)2 : 1
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Evans D. (WC)0 : 2
    14Nakashima B.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    15Popyrin A.Vukic A. (Q)2 : 1
    16Brooksby J. (PR)Draper J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Munar J.2 : 1
    2Opelka R.Rinderknech A.0 : 2
    3Rune H. (4)McDonald M.2 : 1
    4Bautista-Agut R.Mensik J. (8)2 : 1
    5Lehecka J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    6Fearnley J.Moutet C.2 : 1
    7Evans D.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    8Popyrin A.Draper J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Rune H. (4)Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    4Nakashima B.Draper J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    2Lehecka J.Draper J. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Lehecka J.2 : 1