Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Brandon Nakashima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/04/2025 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
72%66%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (31/42)54% (19/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (8/16)39% (7/18)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
46% (16/35)26% (11/42)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (11/18)50% (8/16)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)25% (1/4)
Winners
1212
Unforced Errors
2334
Net Points Won
86% (6/7)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
67% (39/58)49% (26/53)
Return Points Won
51% (27/53)33% (19/58)
Total Points Won
59% (66/111)41% (45/111)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Roberto Bautista-Agut
43.2%
Brandon Nakashima
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.
  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.83)

    1.67
    (1.83)
    5.4%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%). Nakashima will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 40.7%75.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Nakashima (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 Games - Bautista-Agut (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Games - Nakashima (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Nakashima (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 52. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.
    • Bautista-Agut is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Nakashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
    21.06.2023 Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut 0:2
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bublik A. (8)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7De Minaur A. (5)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15Sinner J. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2