Result
2:1
21/03/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (52/69) | 74% (37/50) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 47% (18/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 29% (20/69) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 56% (18/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 29% (2/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 89% (8/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (66/101) | 62% (53/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (33/86) | 35% (35/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (99/187) | 47% (88/187) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 45% (13/29) |
Chances of winning
Brandon Nakashima
71.4% | Roberto Carballes Baena
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.38) |
|
3.31 ↑
(3.08) |
5.4%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 53.
- Recent matches Nakashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Carballes Baena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Nakashima is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Brandon Nakashima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Brandon Nakashima?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Echargui M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pinnington Jones J. | Wong C. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | Riedi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Willwerth B. (WC) | van Assche L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Dedura D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Landaluce M. | McDonald M. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vukic A. (4) | Harris B. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Basavareddy N. | Barrios Vera T. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (5) | Draxl L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Clarke J. | Mochizuki S. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Walton A. (6) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sweeny D. | Hijikata R. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bellucci M. (7) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cassone M. (Alt) | Maestrelli F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Kypson P. (8) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bolt A. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Blockx A. (9) | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Mejia N. | O'Connell C. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Burruchaga R. A. (10) | Fery A. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bu Y. | Schoolkate T. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Svajda Z. (11) | Smith C. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Svrcina D. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Jodar R. (12) | Dhamne M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Miguel G. (WC) | Bonzi B. (15) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Wong C. (21) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | van Assche L. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Landaluce M. | |
| 4 | Vukic A. (4) | Barrios Vera T. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Draxl L. | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Walton A. (6) | Hijikata R. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bellucci M. (7) | Cassone M. | |
| 8 | Basilashvili N. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Blockx A. (9) | O'Connell C. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Fery A. | Bu Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Svajda Z. (11) | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 12 | Jodar R. (12) | Bonzi B. (15) | 2 : 0 |
