Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
144
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
68%57%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (52/69)74% (37/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)47% (18/38)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
30% (15/50)29% (20/69)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (20/38)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)29% (2/7)
Winners
3524
Unforced Errors
3224
Net Points Won
78% (14/18)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
65% (66/101)62% (53/86)
Return Points Won
38% (33/86)35% (35/101)
Total Points Won
53% (99/187)47% (88/187)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
71.4%
Roberto Carballes Baena
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.38)

    3.31
    (3.08)
    5.4%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 53.
    • Recent matches Nakashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carballes Baena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Nakashima is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.2 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.2 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)2 : 1
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)2 : 1
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4Vukic A. (4)Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.2 : 1
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)2 : 1
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)2 : 0
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)1 : 2
    10Fery A.Bu Y.2 : 1
    11Svajda Z. (11)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)2 : 0