Brandon Nakashima vs Sebastian Ofner – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/04/2025 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
155
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
67%63%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (41/49)78% (31/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (10/24)42% (10/24)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
23% (9/40)22% (11/49)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (14/24)58% (14/24)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Winners
1722
Unforced Errors
1729
Net Points Won
50% (1/2)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
70% (51/73)66% (41/62)
Return Points Won
34% (21/62)30% (22/73)
Total Points Won
53% (72/135)47% (63/135)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
58.4%
Sebastian Ofner
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.
  • Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Ofner's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.45)

    2.3
    (2.76)
    5.1%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner?
  • Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.92%95.42%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Ofner is ranked ATP: 153.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22)1 : 1
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.1 : 2
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)2 : 0
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)2 : 0
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)0 : 2
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Norrie C. (19)
    2Kopriva V.Jodar R.
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)
    5Tsitsipas S.Ruud C. (12)
    6Cerundolo F. (16)Blockx A.
    7Medvedev D. (7)Cobolli F. (10)
    8Mensik J. (23)Zverev A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2