Brasília vs Real Brasilia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
314
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
58
Red cards
10
Total shots
314
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
19
Corner kicks
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', (Penalty Awarded),
  • 69', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Brasília
24.8%
Draw
28.5%
Real Brasilia
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 27.3% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 26.7% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Real Brasilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Brasília - Real Brasilia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (3.15)
    3.2
    (3.35)
    1.95
    (2.1)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 8).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Real Brasilia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brasília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Brasília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brasília - Real Brasilia were as follows:
    29.01.2023 Brasília - Real Brasilia 2:1
    Latest results of Brasília
    07.02.2026 Samambaia - Brasília 4:1
    31.01.2026 ARUC - Brasília 0:1
    25.01.2026 Brasília - Ceilândia 1:2
    21.01.2026 Paranoá - Brasília 1:0
    Latest results of Real Brasilia
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama ✔ 871014:31122
    2Samambaia852115:51017
    3Brasiliense843111:4715
    4Capital842218:9914
    5Sobradinho842210:8214
    6Ceilandia841314:10413
    7Real Brasilia82157:12-57
    8Paranoa82068:18-106
    9Brasilia81074:18-143
    10ARUC81072:16-143

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)